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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
9 p4 h& A' u( @! e9 w
0 q+ ^& }( G+ B; q比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？- B3 r& b$ z- A! ^ O! Q
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：9 E! d# H3 z: G6 Z* ]
2 z' E: U* ?7 M4 L. B1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
: ^7 x' w) a3 W) D) t1 `' j1 D8 V* d& U" _2 P+ l2 j5 x* m
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过2 G8 q; x/ V) @. V5 D/ A! e: u' B$ j4 t
9 b/ b; O# s. x
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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7 V9 m3 c( [& r3 |2 \2 [2 B去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
6 y& q, J! B7 s' `
3 E8 Z7 }! \" z5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 9 e/ J& _5 w' Q) b" c
3 k& g7 x6 o+ y9 ~Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和" N( j5 x& X4 N3 c
! n* z) F6 y$ _0 c- H( QETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
1 J( K+ f, Z5 T- j" g3 i+ O
9 [; T% A" t& ~( e" k7 ]7 b美金）。3 R6 U+ o1 A0 V. K" I
1 i" Q9 R0 c( M4 o9 _) \6 A7 G5 J0 D' k) j) s: K( b
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
2 n' b5 F: N8 v$ Q$ D! T$ X* c m" c9 |. a7 a( c4 A. T( D
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
$ @* b% [: ]; J1 S5 m- k/ d3 k0 n
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
' j" k* c h- p5 D
C- E2 P0 @) L( X _3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户% ~3 M' M7 Z& ?" i& u1 c% r7 X
" a: N1 y! N2 U1 p8 v Y( x& w
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。6 z; S. R" K% b3 ?
' S: b7 S' _0 C4 {4 n
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL) U2 o" r$ W+ ]7 k
. j( k* p) i/ t/ z约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如; R+ w3 T8 j, y0 D
6 Y# V z8 D, }& y9 x+ o果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
3 J5 y4 [6 f5 S, K' f( a0 V7 A4 x1 c# L
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。3 O4 I/ n+ T1 N; |6 K6 x
; J r7 g2 E# |% Q% h" r( ^
$ {% x" q6 C' Y! q# z3 ~
* L s' G# r8 x3 _) R- O4 a1 p1 w
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