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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，! V6 W$ I4 i* W
1 b& h" g6 J% b比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
& y$ E k! ^; ?我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
3 _4 l3 H1 D! `+ `3 L& S) n* S6 q2 j, x r. L8 J2 f o4 ~
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
! V7 Y) ?9 y- S9 |* V- \# S4 G1 Q" T$ v7 h3 `/ B7 n
没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过- q! W- Q) i2 Z( D/ P( T6 ]
5 x) B/ e( c; F* u# S0 }9 e0 L中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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; Y4 N+ n6 c/ C) Q) b去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
( ~ }7 ~6 E& C) Q3 I2 i) e8 @# H2 V' @% X- n* z1 g& S( T
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
( ]5 G' b- ~, h* y; q
3 l4 |$ i) t4 s3 l# t! H6 pLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
3 j& X. G! Q* ^8 C! C4 T! b# \1 W7 ^# x) D6 {
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿! @5 i* |6 d9 E' r- p9 `* b) o
7 y4 l+ J" h8 S美金）。0 S) l6 ~5 H# k9 r! g4 m5 B
1 r" |$ _( w: z
) a6 |9 e% _9 ]' M0 V7 G* X8 r
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态( x( ]4 A2 U/ [0 u7 ^0 j% Y' e7 Q
* y0 B" W3 c6 q$ k# x
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
. v# g1 a8 j [9 o" Y" n9 H
" `; N: a! d3 S6 C/ [构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
8 {3 L3 b3 H% T: Y: v* L5 C7 {- ]# R- g2 Q$ h; S4 O* E8 U
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
# |# C D% l4 m) w2 Y! @
; ]% r% g" ]0 {1 o! U尤其大资金的信任和青睐。# Y2 P6 d* I1 n
1 s& O6 R6 `8 K- L4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
7 g/ J, y, @, E' R6 U" t
- W/ r* p4 y. W% y约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
. e+ ^% g" \6 Y; c5 Y8 M& X& Q* r# i! @0 l
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美. s' q9 p; Z" ]7 ^7 A
B% X u7 ?" [& \, ]
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
: R+ P4 ~1 Q, i2 [/ e1 z9 I1 E% Y: D2 E, o! U
. |4 c; L5 q/ j! e# d$ J; |& ]9 T7 D2 d! C& _+ P
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