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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
[复制链接]
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，1 U7 i; `& t; F+ O% L' F/ p2 N
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比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
) m/ J# j, h" ?3 d我们认为至少有以下几个原因：! W( R9 f# `7 o8 F& Y8 i
" R7 `% v1 X4 T4 h; E# w
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在8 L+ [9 b9 w/ n8 g7 f) d
1 g$ f4 R+ f' {3 S: N0 Z没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过" C* A. V% l! y1 p6 ~' O L( ] D
1 p9 A0 {2 J3 l
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
% ^2 N3 i& v6 @: k. B; S8 C9 H1 P5 k" q
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
& t/ B1 \. l" C0 {! l% L+ W$ N! M% T, ?2 ?: Z( ?4 K
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 7 M* X4 w b9 @2 c2 Z
: z# M. C, U* x$ ?, w" m k
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和7 L. ]* d2 l5 `) L+ r8 k/ b! Q
1 }1 c- R8 b- h! A# Q8 `
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
: N( ~/ C4 f: J5 ^5 E8 F8 t/ Y
! f2 Q) ]1 P! }美金）。
$ Z) l' V. P9 A# r% @) ~% I! Z+ u5 i% A0 ?" k, J/ ~5 t
1 E$ k, n. P2 n" t, f; E2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
& n# a9 X3 _& M7 H2 m; f0 G, Y0 E6 b" E3 K% _$ t1 b" `
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去& p7 N8 {) n9 R$ P0 K: k
/ J% h/ T% A" c( U) \5 q构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。* u! T# B7 v8 ?4 t" F. s) K9 F
$ g" C5 M& ?/ j$ @1 A6 {# ^
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
) X" s; l( N. X6 l! B" o/ T
4 e" q) J9 u, u6 e! Z2 j( t% k. C尤其大资金的信任和青睐。/ f2 X% I# B* _) I$ o
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL" C u9 f8 o- }
7 Q4 A1 z L- ?
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如: H' y; Y9 ?8 w
. i$ G, E8 w9 H) B/ l I* i
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
' Q' m, R0 N/ _. L7 V9 P2 L& c) d. S1 l( t3 v
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。% x5 o4 V. E7 e5 n: r
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