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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。1 R* K1 R6 o! W
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。: f/ h* B5 T7 U' x% x! z
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。$ O. b1 E9 H- l* W0 F
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尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。# Q( _! Q, d0 b* z3 M r
5 V- g" g4 a( f- l' t3 w5 \& L3 \长期持有者没有抛售迹象
6 E, }+ s' M! x- S比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
+ X: d' V! _6 L. l/ |
: N% u! C7 j8 h' h5 V' e5 V值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。3 P5 t) Y8 p( j+ X' u0 l
; ~ w N3 D+ b7 w: Q: {' e+ j
截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
2 w1 A3 L( T1 W5 P, A, \7 K0 _: T% E; I9 }, v( `* G( e) ^' ^2 ~8 f
这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。; s: O: m* J, ~6 g) b1 G% |
( b8 C! h' [0 J从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
; ~3 `' h' j, E; g! d: y$ S* X* B. e1 [& S% D. ]# U
AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。$ R6 d/ R; c6 t* U0 F
# S' V! U/ l% l3 c$ k# m* {# k
现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
' [9 @+ G/ ^1 G) h! @) \+ y现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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: R# y) k! f+ a5 Z过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。6 ?/ C# L# K9 y
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
. `5 i* p! d5 r2 d- F, i; B% H& R7 u( w$ g$ G
此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
/ @$ h- y4 \' @* o } e
6 t R- h3 g2 x1 a3 v: C问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。) \% z7 i% T4 X; n n
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
7 g1 I3 H4 y8 \3 U1 U截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
2 ^) ]" R$ L# H6 l, ], I! F5 G+ e/ H% w0 E
当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。4 h7 z) i3 x" L6 T5 c/ _
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。) e- j; p, e0 `' ?0 [
% v; F: P8 l# l' [- {当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。- N& y0 n& n0 C) r
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