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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。2 @" X* e9 o' Y# U
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。( |8 Z2 H0 d, F' R4 L# | L, a
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。
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' b+ N8 A6 I a9 k- N1 Q* b: ^尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。% v' v7 d# X! W+ X6 F
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长期持有者没有抛售迹象; ~) j) s; h& _- [7 q
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
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值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。0 W9 d$ Z& Z }+ q: j* N j
1 r, ~" P4 q3 w7 c! \截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。& z8 T$ R$ W* K' a# s
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。/ J# L% {( F" l& Z* h+ o6 b
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降8 G, F2 j4 ^0 o8 l+ z3 N( p
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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& |: f( H2 S$ W b3 }- I此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。- i+ p/ w. l& B+ ~0 W3 K
+ ^6 A) i, ~8 P. s2 i" }. N# t问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。( i* L$ K8 X6 L7 A/ C: Q
5 B* c( @5 Y2 Y9 {加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
+ b% L2 s+ L E) h截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。9 Y0 t( {6 W/ J; ?* g5 }! S
$ b' Y& B6 o, P' C当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。8 [0 |1 _$ t2 X3 b" ]# Q8 O0 l
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
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" n& t: {' D' U) S% P7 l( V: h当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。3 @7 K! b% D6 R# f' ^
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