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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上:长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗?(转)
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长期持有者依然坚定持有,比特币仍处于积累阶段。8 X- l, V" |/ q$ J& O% U7 F
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。) h( R" Z7 t. }
在过去的24小时内,比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%,截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。: Q' ^) O# p ]
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尽管市场普遍动荡,但比特币价格依然保持坚挺,这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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+ k8 {, B* C% R4 m- e长期持有者没有抛售迹象 ]/ E* [+ p% N* e. a
比特币的 RHODL 比率(将长期持有者(6 个月至 2 年)与短期持有者(1 天至 3 个月)进行比较)显示后者仍在持有。! \6 j j7 l2 X6 I
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值得注意的是,RHODL 比率目前低于 2,低于 2024 年的高点,表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。: X% I- p2 g: U7 H$ n! u* B
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截至发稿时,重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。 r- V& o; w& @( V
* m8 {. I' ?/ L# Q这一指标很重要,因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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从历史上看,当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时,它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。+ d v' @6 @" C/ V) n
: M! u" }# D" I2 V1 f9 lAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。' K) }4 h% ?) h. T& f
9 |( V2 Z; U A& M, w6 {9 v9 P( }现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
2 m5 E3 U+ H/ s- U0 u现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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过去24小时内,现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而,这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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( @8 v6 r$ a5 N: Z4 b! _9 @7 F与此同时,传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元,创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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' w9 S) d9 i+ {) k i此项活动证实,投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平,根据 Puell Multiple,这仍被视为折扣。1 Q- c% d# D5 L8 n- v
7 x y! D1 q- f. l问题依然存在:所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗?AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘,发现了更多见解。
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加密基金进入市场:供应紧缩?
3 ? M0 i+ U U8 z6 O$ j截至发稿时,基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。/ H; L' s7 p& ? w8 A
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当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时(目前为 0.1),就会发生买入。
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该指标的持续上升表明,比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势,尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。2 H0 ?; U( H% M" V/ ], Y$ R0 G
* J6 P$ S' u2 x& e1 ]当需求超过供应时,就会出现供应紧缩,从而推高资产价格。
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