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[lastpost] => 2805274 随着比特币抛售放缓，大型买家开始入场。（转） 1770742209 垂钓园
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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8 i9 u% q& @! Z s: W6 A+ Z( P* t7 g 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。6 @$ Q) e; P0 M8 e
! K& R4 F! o( M5 F; ?3 U) n, P 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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8 d+ R2 B9 o+ }8 g' I3 K 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。4 X5 d/ A+ K% S1 P' y4 w
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，$ Z6 ~+ X* N" H8 c# ?* _/ S+ r
1 ?# d% f5 y/ ?( @% s价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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r! z/ j5 f B, t- H9 w6 L “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。4 T R/ n; H/ u4 T1 `
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。4 Z# {+ H4 N% \3 ~1 R
+ Q3 L1 J4 d( P8 s 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势1 V* @$ g9 N( r. D& h
/ |% q# F% k2 L( q1 f5 w 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。- R; k; c; L7 {* b; c/ p
: M. H( m3 n# R( _- J 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。 f8 \9 h, U z4 V- k7 ?$ j& w' D
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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