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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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" |. @! V' @' G4 I4 S其实原文标题不是这样的
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, i& a) F! w+ W( |这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!" L8 w6 h [- L1 W8 Q% h ]; u
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
, y V0 r- Z: P& `6 @他希望能和上帝来场赌局。3 N, k5 ]3 a/ h1 ^6 W: B$ z
8 I- b4 o4 ~( i% p) Y4 { 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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! k6 e3 T. K0 v2 g5 b" Y, m 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」0 ^% r J7 [/ P" x2 H$ F+ p
+ j6 i7 Y2 o" z「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 0 M* H- b$ x& I" K
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」! [2 h) ^( z( i$ W$ n9 x" v5 v2 v- M
8 k* l, v1 Z, f# D6 Y 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
6 z1 }7 V$ p" b' e( e2 U
/ N& ~+ w8 B( H1 o+ H: s接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，2 U, b# Y6 a, ^% Z
因此铜板较容易出现正面。8 [0 u | O" ?4 F
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 & p, p) r' t& d+ ^
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。9 s" h3 P; l1 U
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，5 j4 O) k5 o; S6 }; O! }
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，9 h3 j0 y; C9 L, U, p
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。: ?4 Z G4 \9 i
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?( `: n& L4 O. q" B) g. d5 P5 l
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：' K3 c5 q7 O* ^* z& D: A
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」$ T+ z; P( X0 N3 x4 O/ I
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
2 \- W6 L4 ?. e% |6 N" A5 J1 g「而不是先发生在我身上。」( V7 q1 l. R) I, B: d& }
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赌徒恍然大悟，
# h: |$ V1 o( I- K* u& v8 i; M4 D原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
) t/ ~1 i3 d2 v3 W- f- t- q+ s1 l竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
+ \ S$ ]* j* e2 U s1 ^4 d「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」5 G# o7 f7 C; i+ I$ }) \3 t
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
8 ^1 p9 K2 w- X8 b% y8 V* ?9 R2 b若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
: C& n/ Q: y8 H: ~$ l2 f' w1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，! p, g9 i, Q; j
对赌徒十分有利。' b+ F1 e0 D+ ^2 T. E4 X( j6 ?
5 S+ o0 D& n7 q7 t6 ?" `但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
+ M2 }( k9 r7 L3 y, ]在还没掷到1000次之前，
6 U2 i! j% f/ c. X仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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$ T/ K5 l0 k; k2 W2 {6 G- [4 T 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，4 ]# H8 I @' @9 U( y6 k& \/ f, \2 d8 Q
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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