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[lastpost] => 2818373 美国通过新法案将比特币挖矿活动限制在国内——这对加密货币为何至关重要？（转） 1774923767 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。0 l# V, n- e2 a4 n$ a& i( y) K- X6 ?
' l5 K! q- A; R6 @ 3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。, t5 S# R$ E5 U& b1 K; N
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续5 H% ]! Q1 j3 n. U
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。. T: j# o* G% Q# i0 |* S- }
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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' `! \+ b5 k" e3 V: T3 |价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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2 p/ A$ j' q5 ]9 I框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”, O- `, {# Y. K- e) D
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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2 P! y! W6 c, Z: O6 d Z3 |: G+ _ “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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$ r7 k; h3 J C* a: B# C积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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/ a# S+ M v( w7 \" o& F5 X% o 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。- F4 d4 h8 Y0 V# I9 P& z/ w
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势2 r K6 t9 \ c8 D/ H; F* h
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。% R7 x1 }, }2 Z7 F. x
" \! y% w2 L& k 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。 Z6 P) d9 S( P/ t( u& [6 D
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+ U6 a% J- x1 B 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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& c+ n) e/ L8 i* j% p3 v市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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