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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。
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5 d, M: _4 {3 A1 X9 _* T5 ?) P研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所& Z* x% v k: A5 O8 p+ [5 X; f# F
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获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。% ~/ k2 l, d) r( q) ]: L5 h) J f
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Kaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在" X2 m+ M8 H9 Y) z# B
; j) B8 ?$ r/ ` D+ d刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代" a: W* Q8 b7 @7 O- Z- x# {
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币待分配。: ?3 J3 ]- T& M. b: F( S0 T
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“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们
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8 ~& c a+ X! c* O& w. L补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。# j8 q; J$ q3 S. n
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流动性减弱+ h& R3 ^" y5 Z5 u6 o5 I
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除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大- P/ x* t! d; \. w" T
( R/ l" a) P; d: t$ u( n8 s约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。
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/ m& B5 E, ]$ u: B+ N+ H“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
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报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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