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[虚拟币交流]
比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存（转）
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比特币8月表现远不及传统资产 多国ZF可能抛售库存
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! h" C& U) _* S1 U; }5 o- A 8月接近尾声，比特币8月表现落后于传统资产，因流动性下降，且市场持续担心多国ZF可能抛售比特币库存。' H* x% i U2 [9 }; S( Y% C
8 j' ~4 p8 n! F8 L+ p- B研究公司Kaiko在一份报告中写道，可能进行此番处置的包括美国、天朝、英国和乌克兰，从倒闭的Mt. Gox数字资产交易所# ~1 v' A8 E! p; X- k* ^1 [
3 z! r+ r0 B; R7 ]1 k获得代币的债权人亦是如此。分析显示，总体的比特币供应量可能达到330亿美元。
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8 ?1 }" w8 R+ ?4 LKaiko估计，美国ZF持有约203220枚比特币，其次是天朝的190000枚，英国的61200枚，和乌克兰的46350枚。各国ZF在
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p3 j' l4 _# k+ c刑事案件中没收加密货币，而乌克兰据信则是收到加密货币形式的捐款。与此同时，Kaiko指出，Mt. Gox还有大约46170个代, u( ?) _& {9 P, m6 |& a7 b
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币待分配。
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- z# b' J0 e2 Y7 y1 [0 G$ s9 h“供应过剩在整个夏季一直是加密货币市场的一个话题，”Kaiko分析师Adam Morgan McCarthy和Dessislava Aubert表示。他们# Q& X* o. y- x
1 Q' W2 f* B9 L. p" U3 }1 Q补充说，“有几个重要的持有者可能成为未来几个月潜在的抛售压力来源”。. ^) K2 [* w$ x
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% A4 \% d% U- e5 b+ M流动性减弱. N- M) A5 x! ~6 D$ e' g/ B4 h
8 {1 a, r! x9 x s: }; x4 U除了担心大量卖压之外，比特币市场流动性稀薄，可能会加剧大宗交易引发的价格波动。8月迄今，比特币在此背景下下跌了大$ R; o: ^5 Q5 F- |
, A1 L5 I& }# @' {约8%，而全球股票和债券指数则上涨了大约2%。1 G4 l2 I9 m* ^1 k- P
# V; n( x3 P& t“比特币现货市场交易量仍然低迷，导致近期价格走势震荡，”Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC的数字资产策略主管Sean Farrell在
6 f0 G% ~# k: V! I& B( x' L0 J2 V6 r" B- ?9 m* t, M* N5 l
报告中写道。他补充说，季节性趋势表明，市场活动通常会在美国劳动节假期后回升。
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