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[lastpost] => 2690533 FTX 起诉币安与赵长鹏CZ，索回「18亿美元」股票回购款，到底发生了什么？ 1731545020 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
FED主席警告：2023至少再升息2次！市场期待降息不切实际（转载）
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联准会主席Jerome Hayden Powell在美东时间周四早上亲赴参议院银行委员会听证会重申FED立场，Powell表+ s, u3 g$ P0 `- \
示，虽然在六月的FOMC会议没有升息，但这绝并不是停止升息的讯号，仅仅只是放缓升息脚步，不代表不会继9 G- i$ X! R, `; w0 H
续升息。. Z$ x0 {' a- ^9 X( U! v# Q' K! Z
Powell认为，打击通膨刻非常坚定的原因是美国的工人阶级正在饱受催残，因此将通货膨胀率坚定地守在2%这个
, j7 t7 }4 n4 v节点上是至关重要的，而且Powell也强调联准会成员都相信我们正在接近(这个目标)，但他承认，加息仍要再往上
5 B. ^ C" T% w6 Y* P2 X7 {% S走一些。
8 D2 E9 E m7 v& v' C* E& s“一开始我们动作很快，后来就慢慢放慢了，这只是现况的延续…我们很好的预测，如果经济按预期运行将会发生2 U3 R, D y+ o$ |8 X/ d+ \
什么。”
9 S+ o; S& \) s" }1 c重申再升息两次、市场过度乐观+ V3 M- V5 F- u0 {3 |) A
在最新的升息点阵图中，FOMC对于2023年的最终利率预期值中位数是5.6%，这意味着若每次升息25个基点
( ?: T$ f; L `$ G+ G2 Y7 E, i(0.25)，当前的利率来说仍需要至少再升息两次以上(当前的利率区间为5%~5.25%)。 ]# f/ B D% D0 |8 N% b" J
Powell在听证会也回答了是否会在2024年以前出现降息，而他回应不可能很快发生，Powell认为市场过早关注于$ I3 m2 o! Z* c" v
降息的可能，这太过乐观了：对于降息我们的判断，就是看我们是否对通货膨胀回归到2%的目标有信心，也需要" \' I2 s" v7 O
观察经济发展如何，就目前的状况来说，通膨的持续程度超过许多联准会成员的预期。. @3 [# _ P) h( Y% \7 N
对银行爆雷回应
+ k6 t8 T% R# v( e& l! p2 `# [除了升息议题以外，对银行相关的监管也是许多参议员询问Powell的核心攻防话题，Powell回应近期要求提高资1 i1 C, k! ]" {' r# _8 T d
本适足率的要求，是针对资产规模超过1000亿美元的超大型银行，对一般小型银行、社区银行没有影响。而至于; E- k( P, h9 H
硅谷银行的破产监管责任，Powell也承认当前的美国金融与FED系统有执法上的问题，需进一步地的改革：对公9 u: |$ H* z2 |4 e
务员来说，如果有渎职、违反规定的话，他们就会被解雇，但(硅谷银行)这次没有发生类似的事情，而旧金山联储
) s, h* |: _/ s( d. n当时也发现了问题，提醒了(硅谷银行)银行管理层，但后续的执法力度不够，这也是联准会体系的问题。. F" y V) J* W' i6 d5 N! Z
" Q& Q- N6 F0 T' \' ~
: F7 I" _8 T8 O6 B, t
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