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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。; |6 {% [# d) J" ]% e! n: ]
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5. 废话的不对称原则1 i2 }5 K9 y0 l* {' a
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。2 d2 h8 ^" T. @" }) {. }
- C) c+ t) b1 ^9 M. M+ F回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
: l* ~1 a9 u$ I
+ U# u E/ l5 T6 q! N7 a* f写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。# e2 E: e; t. r0 e
3 {& u' m5 ]2 \& Z
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
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; J- ?+ O, L' s1 c9 z. e而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)5 t* j9 Z ]5 p
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。5 M& K3 a* M. Z
+ _3 d( f6 ^5 e, }
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
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因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。% f' c6 h4 F8 X9 V
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想象一下罕见事件:/ i3 E' `& `) i& ^( q- E
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• 中本聪的钱包苏醒; z* @5 N4 L0 m( J9 y
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• 核打击
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我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!. c6 ]' s: z1 _) D, V
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7.二八定律% u. C6 v+ n' b7 ]! T3 c
在币圈:2 |8 k$ U7 I8 z
/ S. Y9 G' \- L8 d/ ?! m80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
3 e9 H0 f w9 M2 c: _$ z8 Y: k$ J% S5 C* e
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。: F$ S$ a, o) ?* ]3 G
2 L9 D" Z+ h9 P- W我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。2 @- _9 X2 W4 C+ ~9 d
* \& f9 D; X) X7 a( ]8.网络效应/ P) j& P5 h- G2 e# E) x, l
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
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想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
8 {$ c. O) G {- R5 o# _# q
8 y& ?$ J; [% w& D8 a; ^一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。1 K3 H* x" I m3 Z* v/ s
# D. L g+ G% T9 Z" s4 Z1 L! ~
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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