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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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[虚拟币交流]
13个重要的币圈思维模型(2)-转载
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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& Q; K* L' W' y6 v! l" O3 c5. 废话的不对称原则& }! t" P5 Q: l( I3 i
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。1 M: o2 ]$ b8 ^4 G8 s9 L4 d! z) V7 t
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回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
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3 [$ {- U% ?3 G0 ~9 w写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。: p" h @6 N4 z' f* {' |
% S: I: U' p4 p Y0 L0 w每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
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5 g) C( ]& d$ F2 f" m/ I而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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- f. G1 U3 T9 |* X: O; u6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)4 C/ o' I, A* o
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
2 h8 s: s8 ~1 j* m+ B) p) X& _
8 D2 Q6 X( F0 e0 G% ?4 D不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。3 n! f/ m# t, B9 a6 q
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因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
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想象一下罕见事件:
a& z/ d2 J; f2 ]- F6 i' p, j: |7 R1 o8 `% O' r5 p. ?
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
8 [' W! n, A; P- u" K/ T7 a% M4 k/ t5 h; S* A! f5 [
• 核打击
- X2 w3 e: \) Q( {' H5 o! J
4 v) A5 M- U% S5 y5 F我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!- k( s& f; v* Q/ Z
$ E, |% y0 w. P( h# i- U! v
7.二八定律
6 d N7 D1 H6 v7 K在币圈:
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' A* W& O; q: N* @80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。- r) w, X4 O+ T0 v) r% v3 W+ u
+ c+ U5 e7 D4 e! w2 g0 O
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
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: B# a5 d( R3 H4 S" g/ ^( ~我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。' W' ~+ P; O, N6 q0 m' \
9 r5 k" p, t/ T8.网络效应
* p5 M( s3 }4 U5 ~4 l5 |产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。6 p8 U( ^7 ?. t1 w' L6 m
# N1 k: Y, V# X w, I& c
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?2 }9 W: C0 _$ ?, m" E# D* D
* D% e; S9 u0 t一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
% d; Y8 ?6 k. W S3 l; }7 G" b& Q1 C6 g; {- n
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。9 v" ~, H9 O- s. N) w) g0 d
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