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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 ) x5 s1 @5 Q' f5 |+ F# y8 z/ d- m
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其实原文标题不是这样的$ X$ X) b* P1 o0 l Z4 P
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
/ I4 Z( g) C: L3 q# f) e! p他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。& u. E/ J/ t, J
( a7 ]3 M0 V8 m( U 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
$ l- _, I+ v* E$ r0 ?. d# P ; E# V" U+ q4 h( J0 o9 u
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
+ `1 n7 g( k" q* ]2 F- F+ m「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」6 o2 ]1 E( R* i! ^2 a
3 r1 K! l5 P' N5 C d4 P. ~ 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
/ O5 l1 [6 G& _& h1 h+ {4 d/ l
! o0 X+ A. D! g, h1 h. c5 E7 T8 g接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
1 Q/ ?& m8 i, S因此铜板较容易出现正面。) r7 s; ]5 m9 {$ k3 {9 D) u
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 2 D/ u8 T. S& I( u! g+ k w
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。5 ^7 ^, n* m, j
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，9 m8 l# [5 X7 i: b( ~6 W. p$ e
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
6 r' L2 w* M h" @$ c2 T但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。2 \6 P1 [+ }$ r9 L! d1 S
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?6 K# U3 Z. f5 g
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
- C* ?6 \4 x6 B3 [「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
* j+ F: {# K1 |7 }「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」0 v; C2 \* q% f
「而不是先发生在我身上。」2 t: _ Q2 o. Q: G! p% F
1 _ r& j( r7 I% \6 D3 R# _2 d 赌徒恍然大悟，; W! y7 `9 e: D0 g+ o* E
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，. Y3 Z1 _0 W1 g: c- w7 n; G
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！0 c1 p4 ]- B8 A! h" \7 }4 @
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」2 r9 ~0 `; ?) s2 |+ n5 Z
上帝说完便不见踪影。 - I+ E5 q8 z' L7 u
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
" v! u4 D/ A: m! y4 i! g若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，( o. ^6 h/ J9 a& x; ^' p ~: t
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，2 s* n1 M; @/ j' v0 h1 J7 T( F
对赌徒十分有利。; Q- i4 [% b$ D! u2 Y/ Z% {
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，6 e2 d. N5 i# {" Q8 L3 K
在还没掷到1000次之前，
/ F. v+ B. C! r仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; \4 L+ f- T0 c5 H5 h7 b9 r$ ~
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。2 t9 g, F f* _, P( A
0 @4 z. {8 \: Q- x) x4 L 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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b3 g+ l1 i) e x- q! F( {: H 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 4 M! p0 U2 y0 Q# L1 s. ?2 y. c
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