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小分3种情况:
" ~5 C0 K% N7 s1 B9 N+ O) A0 f& [' `+ _0 o
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。! }+ ^$ K9 j4 I! M- E; h
1 h, T7 T2 o8 x: A* p' C. [2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
# c3 e& U7 s1 e$ N1 T* r I! p
2 S1 M( q# g L* _6 X: r3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。 q2 H$ x2 b! ~# X# e
& Y& q/ C" m7 f; @8 y2张牌8或9点的情况有:( C( ]) A/ e) p0 v( T
' b' k4 e5 N' \+ l9 J) X; z
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+100 O% J% l e* M: C+ Z" R- [4 I
9 T C" d8 t+ Y- r: e) T
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415- D$ `: ?# |9 R
6 e; l1 D$ {% N, v2 Y1 k4 y4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415+ b. q$ T# x7 D$ v9 |9 B
8 e6 H# }+ F+ m8 u! e8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
9 s/ I" j5 Y, C- W2 S; v p' A2 J& V: t/ ^: M
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。! |& h2 o9 Q2 H2 x' l" c; y7 u" w
5 H/ D# A a6 s7 Z: {8 p7 Y通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。
! j" z: K2 X& R" P
! k2 `) z3 b" p K: z" V3 A6 @那么我们可以得出! e" h" Q- `, _, c* \
( A" V: ]- D; a' J1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
7 M3 y1 i2 ]3 R z5 k' Z1 Q E8 w2 b$ ^2 }7 p' N
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
! J. ]3 ~. c4 V( V0 P: Z% l9 c* `. i
* z) F- I/ A+ L g; `3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854913 ?1 {+ E: S% j2 b+ I3 e5 ?+ U
( V$ h; X+ x% n# h2 K5 R* Z; y' A
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
% f t! |7 l+ y- `6 u9 V/ K8 k& ~: x6 t2 d" @' Z/ i+ z8 d
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
: L7 |; u# `1 x+ \! [! ^. ]. N |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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