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[lastpost] => 2690533 FTX 起诉币安与赵长鹏CZ，索回「18亿美元」股票回购款，到底发生了什么？ 1731545020 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
FED主席警告：2023至少再升息2次！市场期待降息不切实际（转载）
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联准会主席Jerome Hayden Powell在美东时间周四早上亲赴参议院银行委员会听证会重申FED立场，Powell表% Q# n( {# J6 t) m- I) U
示，虽然在六月的FOMC会议没有升息，但这绝并不是停止升息的讯号，仅仅只是放缓升息脚步，不代表不会继" t7 X$ z4 D% y6 c; v" {
续升息。 u3 a; i& g7 @" A
Powell认为，打击通膨刻非常坚定的原因是美国的工人阶级正在饱受催残，因此将通货膨胀率坚定地守在2%这个
' [; g0 D: |& {$ {! h8 l" O节点上是至关重要的，而且Powell也强调联准会成员都相信我们正在接近(这个目标)，但他承认，加息仍要再往上
9 e# y; r" H. r走一些。; S# b7 U( q, R5 A0 c. i
“一开始我们动作很快，后来就慢慢放慢了，这只是现况的延续…我们很好的预测，如果经济按预期运行将会发生% m# ^; V' }( b
什么。”
d9 Z* f4 ~; ]* s u重申再升息两次、市场过度乐观
z" r# ^" U! S" t6 x9 h& n在最新的升息点阵图中，FOMC对于2023年的最终利率预期值中位数是5.6%，这意味着若每次升息25个基点
7 R$ N% Z5 B9 \; n* O(0.25)，当前的利率来说仍需要至少再升息两次以上(当前的利率区间为5%~5.25%)。
& ?) l! q" E$ r- XPowell在听证会也回答了是否会在2024年以前出现降息，而他回应不可能很快发生，Powell认为市场过早关注于
- ?+ z0 F& f& W, J9 {" W( o6 l" J降息的可能，这太过乐观了：对于降息我们的判断，就是看我们是否对通货膨胀回归到2%的目标有信心，也需要
( k) Z' G4 S4 f) h+ Y) B8 H观察经济发展如何，就目前的状况来说，通膨的持续程度超过许多联准会成员的预期。
& w, s$ L ]7 f q5 K对银行爆雷回应7 t" I9 y- x3 b7 @$ K
除了升息议题以外，对银行相关的监管也是许多参议员询问Powell的核心攻防话题，Powell回应近期要求提高资
* e T5 ]/ Q$ K本适足率的要求，是针对资产规模超过1000亿美元的超大型银行，对一般小型银行、社区银行没有影响。而至于1 y% K- G3 X3 z7 Z5 l% r
硅谷银行的破产监管责任，Powell也承认当前的美国金融与FED系统有执法上的问题，需进一步地的改革：对公1 ~$ l1 [( k" M5 k( T6 B W8 e7 A( h
务员来说，如果有渎职、违反规定的话，他们就会被解雇，但(硅谷银行)这次没有发生类似的事情，而旧金山联储" D, J% m4 q! x7 e3 Q! @* w- M
当时也发现了问题，提醒了(硅谷银行)银行管理层，但后续的执法力度不够，这也是联准会体系的问题。
+ R% Q- y: `' z2 w" s3 U
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