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[lastpost] => 2807895 前三名价格预测：比特币、以太坊、瑞波币—— 均未显示出复苏迹象。（转） 1771576386 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
+ a: T1 T) H7 `5 ^ L3 [$ ~4 `. g2 D) x( G
8 q% ^, n/ m& T0 w9 [ P4 {比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？( C) c2 L$ `# @0 D8 s8 a
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在/ M1 Q' y; P2 A
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过0 x1 [/ X( l; Y! o5 h' q) e% S
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中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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1 O0 o; ]# g P, V8 N2 X去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长" b; |- w: I! y' t6 x* I# _
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5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
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! s, d! H! h C! ~ IETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿) [, S. T5 f- w1 k7 m @" Y1 ^, o
! ]/ p* c% }$ [, z7 w' s美金）。
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9 }( b8 v/ V3 P) i) g* T
* g" H* P5 {# B, u$ d! e2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
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比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去) e* z3 E1 g1 L+ ?6 n W
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构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。! I* ?+ C4 _& {) R. P
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
- @9 h) @0 n: s: Y
2 Y1 }& I- E- d4 p* [2 g+ J尤其大资金的信任和青睐。% z; O' T! b' m& Q
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
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约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
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% \. ], }3 n2 g3 L金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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3 ?$ j/ ]3 A6 v0 W5 j& R3 x3 w* f8 r2 l& W1 S- V7 N
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