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[lastpost] => 2794448 比特币重回 9.1 万美元，美国机构恢复乐观（转） 1767596480 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。1 B1 }9 d8 `& L2 E! K
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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% M/ s: ~8 i& V/ I2 L Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。& S/ a% \7 A$ |% O8 \0 k0 {6 [2 x' b
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$ [, Z4 G P* E5 ]5 v 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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2 B: {, G |4 w& ?3 K$ X4 N 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，: T; z- R/ \. p7 b
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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/ F3 K. s7 u9 L9 D3 h) p4 m6 s “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”! U* c6 K: {) `: s5 [
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! [7 D+ u+ k3 b' Q8 e' q! L2 Q 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。/ }0 c4 j/ }) S: E
" n& q4 B- K7 t R* i( H “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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0 B8 o3 e, a% i积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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: [, ]1 y; W# F+ J 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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; f, [0 {) n$ O) ^1 W 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。( I# `# o$ p4 ^1 f. ^
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势, D8 e9 f0 m4 `" P4 S, E( } {- C
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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, `/ g6 h) q3 P5 ]/ g+ _ 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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# R' B% X, f: u: p/ z 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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8 Q9 R' V! P- F8 Y市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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