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[lastpost] => 2818635 谁在砸盘比特币？巨鲸减持压力抵消ETF买盘，3月反弹难掩需求真空（转） 1775184080 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份0 w4 W; W/ Y5 a# f
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。' [) N0 D, v8 i- u2 H
美元抛售推高比特币; n3 [$ F7 Y; @
6 a6 B- ^! A5 Z! @8 ]Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以% r' a. V: J a, a3 Z' E
; c$ x. W$ [% i. e# u2 Q来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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" l. @7 ^ j1 n5 c数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。, v; [5 }- m6 F( s1 p
; C$ q6 D7 g1 ~2 ?) [, WAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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! {' e4 z+ h( {7 O H d下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化5 \; E9 f* k# R( d* ?) s3 W
5 h0 `% y5 f1 X* E# a* v# q剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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# A6 ~: n: C2 U) G这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破- ^0 Y1 c }# ~
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了8.7万美元。
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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2 R& @- @5 E/ I1 c% H( x: ]“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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" U# J5 Y# F1 }1 l, g分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。5 e$ ?6 G% z1 U) I' e7 c8 V* Z
& V- j! a# X# \, ^; N; C“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交$ a0 `, {# i I' w$ o/ O- i r
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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