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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测(转)
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元,专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份) t/ l$ ~# o! h3 i2 ~
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。8 E; `* D6 n) d$ k* `1 j
美元抛售推高比特币
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& f" u7 k# T7 KGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上,Dragosch补充说,美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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“看起来,比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”) X- |5 z- O) u' S' z$ k: }' k
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8 p! V8 o; a, r$ M1 N! @根据附图,比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此,在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下,美元指) S8 I, J g' ?! j6 g; K/ a
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数走弱(从100美元跌至97美元),从而推动了加密货币的上涨。; C0 r) E- @! T- h
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道,特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”,而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道,这将推
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' T8 u% M% s* W+ U高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布,多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。: G5 G4 O; v0 p$ \1 Q* P+ J- C
! r, r2 f8 `! C e! {9 ^这里值得指出的是,黄金价格在周一再创历史新高(ATH),这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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, {7 x/ s% x E, n5 r这意味着,在关税不确定性的背景下,投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币(BTC)作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破% A- ~& z: ?' M- t; e- O0 E
4 v, r# q% \+ e1 G& B了8.7万美元。
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然而,BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的,需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称,
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“突破不错,但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何,你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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, [1 v2 C# z& b5 E分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示,比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。; v: T+ K% i" H% b: H$ ?6 h
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元,创造并确认更高的高点,并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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$ [& B: `0 j* ~' L/ D+ fCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景,指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调,而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交' O& G; n- M5 u2 y5 B2 a$ P
( N& G0 a8 S- S: `' l [易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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