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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份% X0 r- p0 a; G- g
; F8 ]8 R" A( k+ g% a; n报告中特别强调了这一论断。
) q* H7 ^$ U, S3 {: C9 q4 F美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以; x( e" ~0 G6 L# y+ v: e4 N6 T2 }
- T3 | H" B6 i* ^来的最低水平。- J X/ I, ]/ N$ d
9 f8 t0 ]- c, z+ z" Z0 y“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”/ W7 d# w! {7 o! c" w7 }! e2 p
; g1 z6 I+ U+ ]
% [1 e" W1 I0 h/ x( M根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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2 d# l/ I Z. y: M数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。& p( P- r9 E" y% D; l5 F9 K1 m
! p1 X9 y) E5 x( e. xAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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* ?9 f; ?5 e/ M4 b0 _; A0 O# x# A高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化. H. f# T8 j- X8 Z, c/ l9 p
; S3 w* ^' S( M1 d2 a7 s剂。% I+ B7 l4 W! N! _- i4 g
" ^. U4 T% I, Q9 X& M. w4 x) ?这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。% K3 W( R9 k& L- X
6 d1 D, W7 N: v& T( y0 E: k这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
3 b3 y: a8 K$ y8 m1 L' E
# ?' a2 E, f( R. h; j( c0 p“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”, [3 n7 A3 g% q
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* S9 E. ^. G3 {9 I8 A分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
( w( p u' d# z/ {& `" p
1 t+ I0 J* i3 {" Z; W“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”: U4 S {! N* O+ J! p2 z" \5 d
9 ]$ Y" H3 K6 A. j8 b {CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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% e* B& P$ J- {4 i" t; s易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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