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[lastpost] => 2763799 美国经济数据再爆冷,加密市场何去何从?短期、中期、长期走势全解析(转) 1757333731 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测(转)
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元,专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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! N3 n$ \, @: C7 k$ G" z: K4 R' @报告中特别强调了这一论断。3 ?8 ?" B& `# g0 K( H
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上,Dragosch补充说,美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以3 |( q8 q) E' Y/ m/ T
0 \) h- n/ @3 J1 F来的最低水平。
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7 k% Y7 ]4 W' S2 b/ M: ^, v7 U* W“看起来,比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”, y0 ?& H" P: p
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根据附图,比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此,在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下,美元指+ m7 t! R6 ^, a* v; j9 s
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数走弱(从100美元跌至97美元),从而推动了加密货币的上涨。+ K$ \7 k4 ]: Y
- N$ Y- r, r+ I1 c/ A( ]# e9 Y+ A+ cAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道,特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”,而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道,这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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; x) V" Y; D8 K, ]下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布,多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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" U: J0 a6 s1 N5 M剂。- ?+ Z6 Z6 M: G1 `/ Q
1 D) ?. O7 t0 ~! s0 }$ r1 e这里值得指出的是,黄金价格在周一再创历史新高(ATH),这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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2 P1 [- ]2 l3 E这意味着,在关税不确定性的背景下,投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币(BTC)作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破: }5 c- M# B9 M. q2 X
8 N- |9 `- ~% v, F: n. K4 Z: e了8.7万美元。
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( K+ r8 h0 c: h# L然而,BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的,需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称,) S4 |: q) x9 d, m
9 |( T1 P$ G' U! @" F3 e“突破不错,但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何,你现在还不应该太兴奋。”( d4 h! H2 P* w$ n
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2 M- d% w& @; @/ o分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示,比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元,创造并确认更高的高点,并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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/ R' P+ ]! F5 y% x3 @0 N$ dCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景,指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调,而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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o% q, R1 h8 A& _, {易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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