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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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其实原文标题不是这样的* C0 O" V3 r7 K/ P- x
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
" Q6 B; S n1 z$ Q$ D他希望能和上帝来场赌局。. B. D& E) T5 _6 E% m
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。5 P& n, g8 T p# R; M# j
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
# Z T% Q" Z: U# ^- G! s「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
* u$ j/ w/ A# U: N
9 {# B8 i7 e: @$ |4 p9 p+ s2 a 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。& K5 a' O5 Q/ D# o
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，/ g* W+ D/ Y& e# }: l4 j& g
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
! K* @4 {- p8 f6 n. V% Z, X* J" o9 X" ^长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
" q/ ^( J3 y8 [" I( u因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。, X& h% L. o7 B( _: l4 P
心想赢定了。
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$ Z x( _. {9 J) v没想到开始不到半刻钟，
8 @0 S; {0 v4 [5 \' W赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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( l# Z$ e p% C7 H, U8 f2 q赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，) S* [0 Z Z1 W/ n5 } n( U
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
- v2 z. q8 ~& b2 @4 u他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：* N- U i# M3 D; T( B6 x- {. T. w3 e
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
" e& n" o4 o" S: _「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
, v. G' M3 K/ X. a4 V「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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) O: J2 i: a0 q0 V$ W, k 赌徒恍然大悟，1 p; g/ F/ q% _0 f
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，& O0 W) U7 j& ?6 t
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！. D' I1 N2 L# G" M" W& }" {
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
+ n) Z+ R5 A0 {8 B% [) P* ]7 {1 X u上帝说完便不见踪影。 2 |) V% [+ B/ `% J
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
l" `3 s9 K5 B/ t3 _4 P1 @$ x. T若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，# ^; D/ b! L! r/ O/ d" N
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
?& |: W/ w \2 J! O& O; {" g9 \对赌徒十分有利。
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) O4 z3 h2 t, r6 v2 ~" w6 X! g; Y但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
" b/ K( i' N6 Y; _在还没掷到1000次之前，( M8 q0 n% c s; L+ k
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。8 E( t$ ]/ s( l0 @! e7 h: a
# Y& n4 P5 a# `7 s 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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' }' ~' \% @+ X. D0 X: L, z7 Y3 p$ L 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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: l+ \: G! q5 g D/ B4 u( H 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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