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小分3种情况:8 c6 n% r1 R* @; [8 }
8 |3 M8 ] h; @ I1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。! a% d% Q& t8 H( p. n$ R2 r: f
1 H, w# Q+ J/ W7 S1 G% D# k1 L1 y2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
. t) A* n+ o0 R: q& |& H0 b9 G
$ |3 f6 t- D6 y& P' x$ @' z3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。. g% Q' t' X, L' I8 f8 V: T
; x( Z$ E$ w) Z: H' @8 ]# k' B( W2张牌8或9点的情况有:
! Q0 H6 z9 j, |$ M$ N2 \ r
7 n$ R5 E# b* e8 r/ I1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+103 A5 d* U" j/ j; }9 n
1 ]$ r; {/ f) s# U. g
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415
: A: q8 Z9 {' X( v% a
& ^; U0 Z2 `5 r4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415
+ Y3 x* @7 R L/ |1 [
* q) ?, o1 D# v6 t, T* X; d: W* y8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
: d2 v1 g/ Y5 x, p4 p- d$ D
) F2 _0 y% b; o6 {3 J' U2 y' h由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。0 Y$ n$ i5 C- h1 D
) Y; q1 o6 r! N3 i: \$ k6 I
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。+ Y k% U( v' n2 f( j* e G
( ?1 s, H, ]7 R) o, c( a; Q
那么我们可以得出# v, L$ y8 b* o. y" X/ N
! a0 t- u2 a9 p# D5 U1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662- y. m* d( i2 l" s6 j! R( E
7 L6 G2 c! z6 Z! W8 J# S0 q2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
$ j2 E: x- f. Z8 M. H$ ]- `+ D& @
( ?/ Z1 P6 I1 g, ~6 }4 U( Y9 M3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854914 e0 ^* `$ f/ g0 t
7 o" n G% E5 L所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
" b# M8 v! R4 J- w! |1 v) A, L8 {, |) x: e/ C; `( i. L
百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677' O: o6 z2 L" t( [( D; S6 T( D
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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