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[lastpost] => 2806178 迈克·诺沃格拉茨：比特币和山寨币100倍加密货币回报的时代已经结束（转） 1771655331 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，8 L& V6 u( ?0 i1 e ^
* I# j' k3 ~1 u# g* `6 v8 k
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
- s' c8 Y4 a: W/ Z我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
% W9 Z. i& u% V( U {
# N, M2 ^9 L: |9 @& X+ h, s1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在# a! i) g' v+ ~% C: E" P- H
! W2 I! I( i [) `: M, ?没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过+ ~: _0 P9 t% P" h9 q
9 j* S+ v+ U2 _: |( I$ N Y中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全' D* x$ g- d9 e) i$ @3 ?- v
! |$ s& i) o2 c; r' i; c' U
去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长2 c& |& A, |+ R. u
6 i+ D9 q% h% Y0 j: p/ {5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
- `5 _! W3 H9 h/ t2 V" L
/ V* {* D* v3 Q: x3 D0 v7 rLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
) B' L# M7 @) h; i) i/ q8 E" I6 d
* k5 g) o2 @; i! nETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
6 S9 @8 j6 K" P1 K) i0 G5 C
7 K! D" r9 s/ J* A; M; k/ q$ E美金）。
+ E, {( y! H. m7 w4 X5 H4 @
: S- Q5 x: [" u! R; w( m' q
' v! X& ]& i2 @2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
" z& a8 F1 _1 a1 e G" f
% h, E* {3 S+ Q9 a% o0 P$ j3 c, f比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
+ r! e; j \! \3 M6 t1 @/ d9 t" _
, g5 s! q- z% z* s" w( @构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
' s5 ~8 D& M% a: a8 f
9 b: ~! D' X. g, i0 {$ A! Z4 a) h3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户% q0 I) B, y- Y# ^) C
5 L) f+ f6 o0 O4 d7 j9 v* N# o3 a7 b
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。6 b# }- [( H6 ]4 H
; D+ F* ~8 Q* n4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
7 v V7 D6 m3 W2 [5 t( C( P$ I& h# ^- d6 V( b( {! w. j+ I" N
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
- v1 ~! [$ c7 u, f# K' a, u [: \5 ?; D) \) H! W: l1 X) a
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美! [$ [+ x0 a0 w' Z
& v9 [0 k; k. p4 O* k/ X
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。! j5 a4 q" X: v! W
" R1 n( r9 W+ G5 N' ?( x. C
0 P7 Q- ~5 G/ a, j
' E: |# l( C( [ Z/ v |
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