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[lastpost] => 2806183 Bithumb的比特币失误给用户带来负担，法律诉讼有利于民事赔偿（转） 1770912896 小钱儿
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比特币减半、比特币ETF获批、美联储降息这三件事被越来越多人2 ~6 \1 A( F; K. S! d3 V
8 S: F8 \( B9 |. J% {
认为推动加密牛市的发动机。毫无疑问，比特币正在进入宏观金融世界，8 k7 h$ P4 A9 [; K
1 _: e/ | s4 [" c/ p3 k& |( V+ j而传统金融大门向比特币彻底打开，迎接比特币的则是继承上一代财富
: z' b3 V, V1 y. u' Y4 m- z
/ N! R3 ~( N- _" s7 z/ P的千禧一代。
- d) C2 z7 t& t; y5 a从比特币减半周期维度看，目前比特币确实已经进入新阶段。根据PlanB
6 _% n5 i l* A4 Q; D0 q- R- {( a( [& `3 g6 Z5 f+ }# f3 r3 Q; b( @" N* y
的S2F模型看，目前，比特币已经进入”减半前 6 个月 – 减半后 18 个月“
9 L! r9 D) I8 _6 f; W6 P: D0 D" u7 A4 K" q$ |
时期，在这个阶段，买入并持有的收益很好。除了比特币减半临近，加" C" |- j+ f" _- z
- [" P& l% p( L
密资产监管合规之路出现重要转折点，比特币ETF推出似也呼之欲出。据6 ^1 S* `5 J6 ?! L: M( j
& ~8 X# D- a6 |1 k3 i) H9 y
《比推》报道，2023年8月，法庭文件显示，华盛顿一个由三名法官组成; O9 Z! ], d b
) g+ K0 J1 D& |4 }0 A) Y* ~5 r; g
的上诉小组推翻了美国证交会（SEC）阻止灰度 ETF 的决定。据《比推》
. b# \/ h6 G3 C) T6 y; k) s' C& W$ i- b5 ?# s
报道，在Ripple案中，10 月 3 日，法官Torres 驳回了 SEC的上诉请求；
, Z* i5 Y) p$ Y3 S* e G5 V! B$ Y' `2 `) S
10月19日，灰度在X平台发文表示已提交了S-3表格，作为将GBTC转换为9 Q/ a. Y0 f( t$ H* J
. t" }- ^$ C. Z: y5 m& Q& lETF的努力的一部分。” 从近期美联储谈话看，美联储降息也基本确定。1 ]2 v& _% m- u, e6 q0 v5 V
6 p' c2 Q# g! v% h0 ?% U5 A据《比推》报道，美联储主席鲍威尔近日在新闻发布会上明确表达：降
# l2 [* c" q- u g+ P6 A$ M8 u( N6 v; N6 X' x
息已经进入决策视野，决策者正在思考、讨论合适降息合适。. s1 S0 ^& R+ R5 g: B+ _; X
1 p6 U/ ^6 |3 b, C% r, C4 O& P) A
与巨大利好预期相对应的则是，千禧一代一边继承财富，一边拥抱加密! T; L$ H/ o/ X0 V: V0 ?
* {' _ y3 q5 Z, p: G世界。据Galaxy研报显示：千禧一代即将迎来有史以来最大规模的财富+ J6 B# R0 r6 ?/ n9 U1 d# m3 q2 X
- g* L* E8 [( m d传承。尽管婴儿潮一代和更年长的一代只占美国成年人口的三分之一不) ?+ y$ t: k$ r( i! Y
8 m m( n- k5 {" h到，但却共同拥有美国家庭财富的三分之二（96 万亿美元），是千禧一
: s. f' B* J2 c- A+ a6 ]
5 B1 V" W7 x- S代及更年轻一代财富的 11 倍以上。受到多次经济衰退、高昂的住房成
( [; g. r5 _5 G E5 e4 S' y
; h k1 P% R+ V本和沉重的债务负担的影响，这些年轻一代更愿意接受替代性的金融体/ W. i3 r3 K3 O/ @% `% C3 l" `
% L( k4 P1 R$ y) I) A: T
系和投资，包括加密货币。许多调查显示，这一代相较父辈，对加密货; I6 X" N7 Z9 ]
0 @$ I+ \( O, ?. P, j* n
币的采用或接受率至少高出 3 倍。估算表明，财富转移的影响可能导致
+ Q& g/ p( `9 y2 F% K- _# b
6 b8 r9 i( j* r" E, d未来 20 年内加密市场每天增加 2000 万至 2800 万美元的购买力。财富
5 A' q4 Z# n% z; q3 p8 M
; ]8 A' {' b3 h) Z5 Q$ m8 Q2 P5 e* x( W/权力向年轻一代的人口结构转变是不可避免的，这对加密货币是个好兆头。
) P; L: E1 N0 J8 E, n7 E3 x: ]0 z- z6 A5 M
+ k$ H1 T" W% c; X- v" \! a% W
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