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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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以威廉为标准,只统计 英超,西甲,意甲
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# {, W' G7 J2 i只跟踪一个联赛
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全塞季  分别买 主胜,  平,   负赔+ g: b( W* N6 C8 L/ B  A2 o

: S  i% F6 F2 Y1 Z三条线  ,三年统计结果  全部亏水钱,积少成多也不少啊 ,最后收益差别不大,
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# u' W7 v$ g: f9 Q) U偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。' c* K0 f& b8 I! a5 H4 ]2 f7 P) Y& N

/ F. m; V: ~! m/ O3 m5 t- p& x! o方法:  全程跟踪一个联赛,一个塞季, 只买一边, 主胜 或负赔(平局出现相对概率要少)# c% Z' L$ ~2 d' [: `1 [

8 n) H2 |7 ~3 m. W3 _6 j( G然后通过基本面或盘赔特征,排除一部分球赛, 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高, 只需要增高一点,/ K& S. H5 R; G, O2 B

5 E% I3 e2 b& y: F就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱,  然后就是不断累积经验,多排除一些球赛,多赚一点水钱
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当经验积累到一定程度, 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目+ w5 L7 j# J/ c9 \6 Y8 [  F/ O; S

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% M& k; G/ I" c# d% B/ W. B- j# m亚盘没有统计,想当然,  低水胜出概率高点,  让盘方胜出概率高点,只有两个方向容易判断,4 F5 O2 J# d+ J" \+ v' k4 ~
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点, 选低水+让球方,一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪,开始肯定输水钱,
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8 p# i) h0 b6 Z4 L) ?* Y) _但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了,就可以把水钱赚回来。( f$ z6 ^  j/ o% r) \- _  K
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( H$ ?* o# Z2 t$ D4 ?理论依据: 只买一边 ,一定不会让你亏多少,因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的,一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。# y2 o- g- L/ g/ {# l

2 B/ e* O$ }5 L* [: J3 e" c4 L排除比选择要容易积累经验, 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ,比那些可能出现 要容易判断
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以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的,$ H! L1 j# V9 h" w6 r

4 s/ O# t) Q6 l8 F7 X4 o3 I  I% c但是每个赛季 5-10%, 是可以做到的,2 Y8 x2 `" _4 d. m

- P. D+ \, s& {这比买国债存银行合算。. \7 a7 Y# [; v) `( B
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在DC赚大钱的人,都是用高风险去博高收益,风险大利润才高,
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几次发现十几倍的负赔,就是不敢去,买了平,这就是人性。* F( j# i2 U4 j* e, ?
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; Z3 E, F  R3 L' _5 d" z常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。" u. F: a/ x) d0 K. y2 J$ E
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放弃一夜暴富,放弃神奇的方法, 放弃高的胜率,
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就是回避了大的亏损,
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大亏,小亏,小赢,大赢,  DC就这四种结果,! W0 {  i. T! }" w
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回避了大亏,用经验避免小亏,就只剩下 赢了。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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