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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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" ] {( M. _6 v$ {. | p其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...5 A% ^+ ^; j' ^% \# T; q7 b! d
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。1 G0 K$ K( i& `* h5 N
) }4 T$ M( J Z! Y5 f! ?6 n8 }( D 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。9 Y1 S, H4 x+ y2 q/ R
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」) f. Y# x5 r) b6 }
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 5 b/ |8 i9 a3 ^" g
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」4 W1 ?0 S. w- x! x) ^7 G4 V
( X6 M$ w8 V& L+ } 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。, _$ y4 ? h. X" a* l5 Q
+ _+ }# a+ H& E7 M/ r
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
6 S" v* V, z( A0 ~因此铜板较容易出现正面。9 f9 e: a* t# t
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 M/ l% |; ^; d
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
) M( D( g; J) X0 |心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
2 k# t! \1 ?- j% Y' O9 q赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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2 @! `: d3 I: s. a Z: j赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，5 R8 Z- w' S; n' l8 P
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。0 C, m; X) r+ J# O% N% C* }) R
5 \) h, g" Y( `& e+ T赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
3 y! v7 `0 J. b: @* d$ o) h+ P他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 ( ]9 m5 `, U% Z z2 p( a
上帝回答道：! r l# K& j2 ^$ i2 d
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」! r2 \/ c$ g" s V
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
( O5 I, K) y s5 n7 n「而不是先发生在我身上。」# R J$ c& a/ ]( Y4 F% l3 `9 @
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赌徒恍然大悟，4 Q+ w4 C( z; }! G
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，) S2 i# ]0 w8 Z0 u
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！' S7 v) g$ o! O, Y9 E: N- Z) I+ e
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
( Q5 a; I) X1 n: i. f上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
% u4 T r0 i3 g若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，( N0 T4 l$ E. e# Y/ T! S
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
4 E3 a" W4 d+ g+ r) _9 b对赌徒十分有利。( N1 G5 N+ k: B L" _4 b
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，3 L- K4 ] ]6 J( t2 V( O+ q( U
在还没掷到1000次之前，6 B) Y+ X. x$ A' I, p X/ P7 {
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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* e2 C, S+ W% [2 H; s6 r 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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$ u8 a( f0 x& g6 [* G; z 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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( e: O# S4 C k5 _0 V& _; I 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ 2 {; n% o1 Y# b3 X% y0 w1 }
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