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[lastpost] => 2802847 新帖子好少，之前账号能找回来不？ 1770224642 luckyangchun
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 , k% v2 F5 F' G" B6 t
" k" k9 {+ C/ q其实原文标题不是这样的; W3 p2 @' m# c. j+ ` i$ q( x
) x {* l( K( b这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...0 x& _* M: b% D2 I9 b+ x
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
) A" t, J& p8 G/ L1 ?3 Y/ e0 @" g0 Y' g) j
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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0 b# Y/ ~9 E a( ]5 `! S$ |8 d 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
8 Z \& c6 u- N2 I4 v2 H ; U% k% f9 v6 t! m* }
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 9 x" B1 A- n8 T' e, D7 q1 z4 g
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」 g' i9 O/ d+ T" E6 W
1 B! L+ T, E, [, h, l 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
# D( Q3 n; O+ _. P# M 7 [$ T2 f% l) p
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，9 K# ?/ {; c/ w- O6 |1 [
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
s X. s3 e5 J' j6 Z, m长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
. D3 H3 B* p9 n, F因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
$ K' _- W- ?6 Z& j& @! _心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
4 |: F- n6 w$ r( x/ a+ e赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」+ S/ V- ^9 U7 U {4 c& u% Z8 y% \
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
' B( j9 S" y9 Z- P! r# R0 ]( x G但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
2 Q8 g4 i; N$ j1 M3 J& R 7 \" g1 i6 u7 b' f4 i" D1 m" W3 L
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?. h" e$ k2 u) N, A
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
9 x9 H! ]) Y5 _8 P$ k9 s ~: y2 t
上帝回答道：
5 b9 j# U1 n$ F, [. ]6 b「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」9 x6 Z Z& G/ Y" v2 f- G
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」3 M6 j/ O. ~4 T4 R) d$ D
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
* v* s; ?) g0 {3 r
z( V# v; n8 ^" ?6 c 赌徒恍然大悟，
' P5 z# @% Y- A7 p2 f, B4 C; |原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，/ i; `+ K/ R, `! y' Z
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！7 N! T5 O U9 _
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」) u2 e4 t) l; ?1 C
上帝说完便不见踪影。 7 ]9 x! `- y+ J' @
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
8 j* m$ j% j# {! D: b p- x" ]若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
! V5 G# i% W& t+ ~9 s1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
8 t2 d' Z0 @- t对赌徒十分有利。
* u8 t/ J N3 C8 K- Y, @- Z9 {+ g
) m* y% s! {2 h5 t {但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
6 n5 b C3 N. u/ r在还没掷到1000次之前，
/ W1 S. |3 {1 b# E: ^7 Y仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
9 j4 t+ f# h: W% M) s
: ^7 q* W- b% S. {! s; i 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。2 f" h- T; Q* T. K
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。& Q/ N% `* g8 I8 a
( Y! V" {3 _- p+ j e* p 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，& a8 E5 q1 @8 F8 J2 F
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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