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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 6 }2 w5 ~* d4 j) u
8 b8 S4 ^) W- b) w" x其实原文标题不是这样的/ J/ |4 f+ s, |0 t
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
! a2 [' K/ I8 ^: Q- |$ `他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
$ k9 u8 y7 W: W- F5 L0 J8 k! p V" z- K/ x3 e/ h" \
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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: j) j) s2 R- h% I( { 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」& x H% l2 q# O8 ~
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
7 q4 F3 x7 d- X- o/ B「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」% r) H/ Y7 {* i& _
+ `2 L% M; y' ]! K5 m 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。 o# {. o: W: \% c
) G @* X, d% g! x
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，7 I! j2 z0 u3 m9 K
因此铜板较容易出现正面。, i8 w3 T) g7 @2 M2 `
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
9 D" w2 H/ ^6 g( Y1 Q0 d3 V因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
8 m* [9 z5 V/ o' A2 p/ B- g心想赢定了。
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0 K' Q& \5 V% Z- X没想到开始不到半刻钟，2 ~9 `& t) G' A, j) O
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，' G- E% { m, E& O
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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$ {/ f" n; h4 P" h! m/ q3 T) ~2 a赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?" j0 X) q) w# m- P, l2 |7 i
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 6 d2 C2 P5 f4 q$ S# F3 F
上帝回答道：
\& X8 H$ S$ E8 U) e「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
n7 a0 J/ X) b! M「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
" C1 c3 }) u4 K, ^「而不是先发生在我身上。」
& x' ~+ h# Q0 p$ e) v: c; g, z* K5 j' H# r6 z% ~
赌徒恍然大悟，% B) T: s/ h2 e3 R
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，7 N0 q+ {& k) {9 k' f5 e
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
5 o8 x3 [. k1 `3 [4 t「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
# m2 u0 u) G$ P. m; o上帝说完便不见踪影。 ) r# F: _% g' U$ T1 v [
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
% y: D8 y) e2 G3 w9 O7 w8 o0 H若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，' V9 ^( h* i$ D8 W* `: `, |
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
( _9 ]9 z: L7 ~! |" c对赌徒十分有利。 A# |, _8 g' G' S7 K: P2 R8 C; `
+ e( B9 L( K/ _但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
8 D3 K* N! ~6 C- ^* t在还没掷到1000次之前，
: P# s, e% l$ ~2 J2 o! L1 M$ ]1 M, G( u仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。& P) z( P7 L' m
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，5 W6 k- \0 w1 R3 |
: e. {, I5 ?+ o2 ] 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ $ o& n) p( z* `0 a) P: ^+ o0 q; e4 N
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