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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后,SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
9 Z) D7 | K7 X& {! E, K上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示,美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易,这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻,将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
# z$ d' @/ K6 a: b9 v8 v. C& u' R: |# E3 l
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市,这将改变比特币的投资面貌,让机构和散户投资者
1 Q% ^/ p, T2 `- L" u- `, _) {$ |' d
; Q5 R% [+ P/ g$ J5 a/ p" n' F/ b在不直接持有比特币的情况下,也能投资比特币。
6 }) S9 a4 ~! w& a t. d
2 g8 I3 O, v/ g. C* E在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来,2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市,
2 o% ^* P n( t! k
2 F: S; G0 p# P8 n6 P' }: V如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市,申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
- ?+ g/ I1 N+ P( b+ {' G0 E9 _
! D3 `4 r+ r) ?$ [8 n资管机构,这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性,比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
" g& l$ `9 c4 y9 g$ t" z/ l6 `7 u4 l
从运作模式看,发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币,并交由Coinbase Global等
7 F/ l# M8 `9 F
3 d% U( B4 l1 p6 }托管机构储存,再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
3 n+ r" l2 e0 c0 t& O8 S, L6 j; z2 C; d9 o
哥期权交易所上市。此外,为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧,纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交; W: i3 G% u$ U E
2 F& i. y4 E7 T C7 j8 p/ p易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
& L; x3 {. D$ }; H0 X, R: ^2 S3 m3 R+ y! n
天朝(上海)自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示,这次比特币
; y" g& Y/ ^* L2 L( Z0 { }/ ?0 n4 L# Z- {! o& a r
ETF通过,也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化,根本原因还是美国已经围& _4 k7 q( Y2 m- S* t
4 v F# a$ d. R* Z) N! v绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构1 R% Q- N9 V4 W0 f
# F9 } `( g0 b! a& l, s
所接受,很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。) r/ @( i- R( X+ E$ V. \# q: B
6 k4 L! |1 s1 i2 }; S, d5 i# {
在比特币ETF获批后,市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表,美国投资机构Fundstrat ( H. X7 W* y0 M. u3 B* U! ?
+ H; d z* ]' ]; N* R" Q% d7 VGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示,随着ETF获得批准,需求激增,7 s4 a9 j( l; j. L3 N: R* U6 K& ^
7 l+ r9 _' M2 h! h6 ^' K
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元,超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元 Z/ `8 f. C w. D* z. P& F* d
- i# a S' ~$ F! Q; `; [$ q4 K的历史高点。在未来五年内,比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
, L* b) d0 V3 {4 u$ x0 m0 {- O* n+ a4 `0 @+ V% Q
不过,更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示,美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身3 B. o! ~6 d$ X- J
9 u6 ?5 r( @$ `; p2 P并不重要,重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图:通过比特币市场的发展,引导金融机构和+ v" F6 q2 A! A0 {7 q4 Q! \
' C& C: R* {" j- b科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入,从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
3 @) m0 m- N- i, T% y8 {6 d7 F# f m0 t
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