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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。
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5 g6 ]) k' Z1 H" c. A! v4 I这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。8 a# u9 j3 S+ f6 g' i
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车! K* w: m1 E# s q( T' j' k0 u
7 }; a' X. N8 M. ` t和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。2 M$ W$ W* N% L; L
! s/ T: Y1 y# g5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛
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* B6 L( n+ E0 M7 H6 v市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。) ^' _( U, A& [0 ~: m- Z
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能2 z `3 |$ N& c8 h% o
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延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。
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; T8 q2 D" l9 F如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。
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从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密0 `, i' v# c L+ P0 L/ Y
8 I+ e# W6 T D. }
集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目7 Y6 R4 h' Z: C7 Z2 T- r( \. n7 ?
2 }- A& f3 ~0 M' d m5 x ^前并无强压。
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