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[lastpost] => 2762871 a16z 给 Web3 创业者的真话：下个十年，Web3 创业要盯住这三件事 1757348985 天策-瑶娥
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。
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这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。+ _' R4 C' d. f6 H4 n
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车/ b5 t& h( s( {. [8 E
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和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。 \: f9 ?/ D# M" X; @
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5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛+ [3 w/ k q; l$ a5 g3 z: q
0 Y# l/ s7 K2 k1 N* I3 [) l# d0 b% R市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。
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9 J: e% m9 D0 L4 D今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能
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延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。
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/ `* F0 q/ v) G! N K8 V! y$ v如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。7 o. j m2 T0 G* f' E# p
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从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密
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集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目! S$ W1 @4 A7 A$ `
2 G3 a" e" s& o* c& |6 R$ e前并无强压。8 c2 L$ N# f3 E+ G
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