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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份6 ]) |7 M( s" j& k4 g
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。. q* F5 }- C4 ~4 ]) r( a# M
美元抛售推高比特币: a! R5 I0 z) N. v
: a8 J: h( V4 D: P" ]& Y4 ?Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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7 P' U3 {; X& c4 R6 `根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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7 z! v5 q2 F" `# x1 ^0 ^! U" W数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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- k/ V3 F z! J0 Y2 k/ eAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。# B0 K) Z' i. _! W% ^
6 b g0 [! x% Z8 |) ^下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化/ |2 k) e8 } W3 y: N5 X3 T
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。& |% i$ |, I0 W$ p4 ^
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。$ g! r O/ [( K I
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”+ _. a9 _4 l+ I$ H7 {/ E
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" i& C0 [& w" K5 t9 j$ u3 G分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。3 t& u) [) Y& ]; b0 s
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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- Y$ s- k5 W* RCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交, Y9 K8 H6 \. w; l w
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。 ~7 @* }* M' D' h7 f% V
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