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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切(转)
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升,比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。 @7 i- |7 h- r- `7 I0 N
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持,对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
+ E( ` I3 e4 K t3 g特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。
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一方面,他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识,但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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' G, T! ^8 r9 E进入 比特币[BTC],在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高(ATH)。时机?简直乱糟糟的。
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现在,BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。! c, u" y$ Y0 P: J8 T: B
( y5 Q6 j- ]( `但据 AMBCrypto 称,经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音,经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。2 J9 L8 \/ E1 g: S/ T( p' Q. c( u
3 A( g, j1 K: f( F+ k+ }" U& z( QD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡,聪明的投资者会利用它?
2 |! L1 {& R0 ~: v' c4 y) v% e. v( e* D1 H" N6 n; i
比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验# @& |% K0 Q( w. N0 [$ t
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。, ^ a k% F+ L! V }
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从 6 月 1 日开始,恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。9 z- p) q; O, R( U- i) R7 F4 E7 L: ]
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自然,比特币做出了反应,大幅下跌 3.79%,收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。' u# P+ }3 r. Y# c( d8 A9 L$ h
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元,是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。
* [( f; |3 I/ B% Q* B1 I
* j: C1 _; A- F9 ~5 M# i按当前价格计算,这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益,因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
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% x# i, K0 z! L+ p5 ~不过,由于流动性基础如此密集,且价格仅出现小幅下跌,此举可能不那么令人恐慌,而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。4 D$ R+ C5 ~$ B+ J
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
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& r5 G2 y; k: F! c% f( M经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现9 A2 Y2 M3 h& I, G @
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟,就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头,美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在,但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议,市场并未等待解决方案。
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反应如何?迅速而残酷。4 I$ v, U; u; d6 N. V) D+ S
; A; C% N, x# o) R4 J短短五个交易日内,标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时,苹果延续了连续下跌的势头,过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。
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5 l1 n# a: ~2 `7 Z @这有什么大不了的?随着股市遭受打击,企业资金可能会转向比特币。5 `7 b' F: s1 A; F+ c
$ o- O+ f- N' R/ Y1 s随着风险资本的流动,BTC 有望上涨,而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。
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