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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切(转)
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升,比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
( N n, L1 ]: W+ M! J, n @2 V% J持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持,对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
! i. {* |# G) F* {. g特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。
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一方面,他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识,但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。/ g4 w: P* N& f7 w% L
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进入 比特币[BTC],在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高(ATH)。时机?简直乱糟糟的。2 y1 U. Q- _( V8 a4 ]( J% U1 N* ^
: R/ e; D4 f. t) ^1 K5 p现在,BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。
6 _' k5 k8 ]4 L! K- v4 N' ?" m6 Q' g1 C9 f, ?% U7 L0 e- q
但据 AMBCrypto 称,经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音,经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。- S! @6 m# @+ M7 {: w
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D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡,聪明的投资者会利用它?
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验6 q7 g# X" e& x2 e3 |3 V6 t$ i5 f( a
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。# c6 j9 S! ~2 a/ o+ [. U
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从 6 月 1 日开始,恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。
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7 q3 ?( ]/ H3 u自然,比特币做出了反应,大幅下跌 3.79%,收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
9 X7 m, D1 t) G" {# ]5 j7 [8 I7 H& u) z
Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元,是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。. D! }$ W, F0 `
+ w( b. j) d# j* p9 i
按当前价格计算,这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益,因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
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不过,由于流动性基础如此密集,且价格仅出现小幅下跌,此举可能不那么令人恐慌,而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
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) h# h- Y7 I: x; W' D6 Q6 L; r/ R, G正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
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经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
! k( D7 w$ X2 X1 r/ p受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟,就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。7 `, c$ c3 U& I/ L: _; H
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头,美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在,但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议,市场并未等待解决方案。
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反应如何?迅速而残酷。
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) \' A. N l U9 x4 ^( d5 P4 p V短短五个交易日内,标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时,苹果延续了连续下跌的势头,过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。/ R! x) N( ^. w( U) e) C
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这有什么大不了的?随着股市遭受打击,企业资金可能会转向比特币。
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随着风险资本的流动,BTC 有望上涨,而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。
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