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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
- Q1 U p3 v7 c" j \9 e0 W. ]持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。# y% [; f+ D S* \ U) A# x
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。3 n5 }9 h, W. g/ f. E7 d
* [ A$ h! G+ r1 F; s6 E4 h一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。8 \$ `; [; g- ]' P8 }# a$ |
) I* q6 X# [. x进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。7 d" i2 r" G- T* R& x4 e% g) t- ~2 M
- |9 v: k2 R. O; ~现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。4 R& x1 v& k6 N) H7 P d4 k
7 ~ o7 }& e' v: C5 U3 v
但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
# {& {) Z+ r8 P( v# N9 R! e6 S; Q
5 }, B. y. d0 f4 h$ DD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？
9 @# n& d. s! I4 l( J/ Y* G
% B7 F+ ^) G& E2 r/ C+ d比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验
8 w) d# P) Q; R( B, L1 V90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。/ p+ r' c1 p6 T7 Q
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从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。
7 m3 T/ o, j; a( n) K# Z* k! ` Y: I# C! U. h6 n7 t* A. U
自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。$ |! c, X& B6 }
( {1 b8 n4 @0 U, S2 o* P/ \3 f2 f
Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。. t W0 b* z+ P; S3 b* X
: H* Y* {+ {/ Z2 a8 a6 v按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
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0 ?. I6 A: B, G+ a" q( X不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
3 n; z# c2 }9 n3 p$ t# O8 n8 z- Z
( N3 D! K% v: c9 t* n8 w* H% G0 y0 M正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。
' z; {7 o( R6 t# f* ` {7 u/ U1 B* ~6 j2 ]3 R! D
经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现: r" R) G" d8 ] c8 H
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。2 p' G; O7 t( S- H
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。8 `9 J) i+ w2 U" a, j& j4 G8 Z% \, v
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反应如何？迅速而残酷。. E, Z, k# L8 _
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短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。
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& `9 e; E* |1 L, k; ^这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。; ?1 C5 i4 P3 h
; }2 B# V0 Y9 O* B随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。( A! ?0 k+ e+ G5 @
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