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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上:长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗?(转)
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长期持有者依然坚定持有,比特币仍处于积累阶段。
- x: z' M, a; b6 D& ]$ n. t2 G现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。2 U. s# H2 {' _ p% l) m, g
在过去的24小时内,比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%,截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。
. C+ _$ _, O8 B$ G( _0 ~% {$ b& b$ l" E6 E' ?) e
尽管市场普遍动荡,但比特币价格依然保持坚挺,这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。5 Y$ b* c# v* s$ B; X! d2 E
2 j. C" s$ A0 x( w7 F长期持有者没有抛售迹象
' P! n5 j; _6 b8 `+ r% G' C比特币的 RHODL 比率(将长期持有者(6 个月至 2 年)与短期持有者(1 天至 3 个月)进行比较)显示后者仍在持有。/ ]; Q* d& V$ S7 C7 ~
& _& K. \% r7 e2 T值得注意的是,RHODL 比率目前低于 2,低于 2024 年的高点,表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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) v% k; U3 J2 f& q, p0 {% n; q截至发稿时,重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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; _& x' e/ x+ Z/ {8 [! H# k& T这一指标很重要,因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
8 `7 C2 O) b" q6 G+ D7 a
9 }6 y4 t: B- ]! s! a从历史上看,当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时,它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。. i& Q: [* T1 ?* V4 D3 v6 m
6 [" @$ R: B: J" }, [2 _0 Q# vAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。$ Z! V" T ^1 T1 ^' r/ X- y5 W
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降
+ R% T4 H2 Z; b$ f现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
, O- }" N( H# }: l! Z+ E& Q& t6 l& j2 C* o
过去24小时内,现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而,这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
/ T' z. A c9 i- N/ m8 @) w6 B3 g7 E) W, @
与此同时,传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元,创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。' C! S( s2 k8 t: u' P; w
7 w. ^- Z4 u! a( U4 Z此项活动证实,投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平,根据 Puell Multiple,这仍被视为折扣。
3 R t- W" N5 @) N2 ~$ e/ s. j% C( Z4 s, j ^& g( t0 B* a+ g( a: {+ d
问题依然存在:所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗?AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘,发现了更多见解。5 Z2 t) k7 g1 q. b2 v
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加密基金进入市场:供应紧缩?
+ @ `& g: H1 g) }1 f截至发稿时,基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
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当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时(目前为 0.1),就会发生买入。
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8 S7 u2 M& g( I" N该指标的持续上升表明,比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势,尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
4 e5 i% @% J' a; b8 E1 {# V ~# ]8 P9 t0 ^1 ~
当需求超过供应时,就会出现供应紧缩,从而推高资产价格。
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