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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 2 Z9 Y7 V( B5 p" h4 Z+ z
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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8 n1 s _5 ]* A. v v
3 ]7 A0 K9 G+ H
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
6 j2 B- S* [ Z5 k2 F% s: _他希望能和上帝来场赌局。) y- g8 B0 |2 d7 [+ ?( E
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
+ { y! |9 A$ \; |* _4 S) m2 M" ~7 ~2 f" t) l$ u) m8 r# I! F. M
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
" r; _1 R% a8 J5 T. \1 Q. u Z; e/ Q" s1 Y8 z& [
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 6 e+ B/ Z0 i5 V& A$ w
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」) U* H T3 x( {4 J
$ H4 r8 c( q; a( M4 g/ E
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，+ s% @" l6 O! o) {
因此铜板较容易出现正面。8 V# Q) b3 Z( ?0 d. b
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 ! Z: ]: `4 d) ]8 b7 d
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。5 F$ p' I& w4 b; B! a
心想赢定了。4 V. W( S. X- Q" b7 @1 G
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
b$ t z! j' x7 }; Y& K7 L4 ~赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
{: c: N6 |; d * h5 [: ~. G; O! z$ M* i( n
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
" f* z$ B' J: G+ o0 c& g& R但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
7 l0 D! Z# h: _" j- j3 |! F# g% a # b V2 q: |2 j D J$ l
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
; Y7 g% F2 Y3 M% f# h! K$ T他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 6 A6 n* Y4 d. y
上帝回答道：
( f R, f3 K# ]$ S「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
( h/ v$ r9 b& |- s( s「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, M0 {1 ^$ i- h0 _) W1 ^1 V
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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5 g$ @- ^ ?' h 赌徒恍然大悟，
" C: Q+ o- h% }8 k) K原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
/ M1 R f r% u3 o! s竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！. N) F; i& H0 G0 Y
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」7 D5 G. H8 W1 |8 U, T% x/ X
上帝说完便不见踪影。 ! B/ d- x7 B7 @" Z3 H
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板， t! Z1 ]: K3 `$ X# U
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
& _6 |( _" { c/ v( I& h1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
7 }, g) r, {& e. Y3 L' J/ A对赌徒十分有利。 }) {& k d- p2 }0 \
7 h, U$ b7 F* \! \$ _" Z但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，, j5 j1 {& r, G+ V4 [' V
在还没掷到1000次之前，8 G7 f, d- A1 M8 v1 F
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。9 C! Y$ N' t- z! V, t( W6 H
+ a+ h- Y- q9 W" b6 V
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
8 g, b/ F0 Z6 M- H
! z8 Y* R: V: y: C: b 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。5 s2 J2 O( P$ u
8 ~- z. o' {7 t 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，. v% ^% |4 w% W) u7 g
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
' T7 k2 R- u/ |' E, n G! l+ [9 ?& O) a9 Z0 X$ o4 i
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