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币世界余勋7.29比特币夜间行情解读 短线思路继续回踩做多 短期最大利空已落地消化
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比特币7月29夜间行情分析 周五
首先,昨夜凌晨,由于美股盘中异动、带动比特币继续上攻。迅速纠正操作思路,高空扫损离场。
迅速转化回踩做多!
比特币23650低多进场,成功触及第一目标掉24200
高点24444、成功拿下6-800点。
以太坊回踩1708接多,成功触及第一目标点1775.
最高点1784.2,拿下近70点、
回归日内,
白盘缺乏美股带动,上升势头有所减弱。
目前初步可以认定7月75基点,市场基本消化殆尽。
而六月的gdp负增长,拜D和鲍威尔先后给出了解释,对市场进行安抚。称:经济并没有衰退,低于正常趋势水平,是降低通胀的必要条件。
两项重要数据公布,利空落地,纳指大涨4%,是2020年以来最好的一天。
最重要的原因,是利率中值2.5%,已进入加息后半程,年度或许还有3次或缩减至2次。
鲍威尔也吐露出会“放缓加息”意愿。
这里猜测,今年剩余的加息力度会出现降低。
所以由膨胀,引发的加息,缩表造成的大熊市,后续极大概率,会随着,cpi维稳,降息停止缩表等。使得市场逐渐恢复。
每一轮比特币的牛市倒塌,最终都会迎来大幅比的上升,此次也不会例外。
这也是余勋一向看好市场的预期。短期来看,加息只是阵痛,长远来看依旧是有利的。
且美股也是最好的例子,加息过后,都迎来更大幅度的上涨。
技术面,
日线级已形成双W型底部,并且低点是逐步上移状!价格再次攀升均线之上,表明短期强硬。
那在两大利空落地后,市场当下不具备恐慌意识。
上涨停顿期,也只是资金短暂困乏,一旦形成接力。依旧会继续上行。
所以近期操作思路,一改高空思维,以回踩做多为主。
但不追多。
夜间至凌晨,比特币操作建议。
比特币回踩23450-23550低多跟进
补仓23200 防守22950
目标看齐24150-24450
以太坊回踩1660-1670激进接多
补仓1635 防守1620
目标看齐1720-1750-1780
消息第一,情绪第二,技术面第三。
当下已无利空形成恐慌,最大消息于8月cpi公布。
重点关注。
每日点位仅限使用一次。
短线切记注重短期趋势,剩余的就是合理的仓位配置及良好的心态。
来源:金色财经 |
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