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冷风说币:OP暴涨50% 冷风昨天专门提示 你抓住了吗? 2022.08.04
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市场消息
环球网报道,美国众议院议长佩洛西于北京时间8月3日17时53分左右搭机离开台湾飞往韩国。
美元、美债、美军是美国霸权的基础,当前由于华尔街的全球金融收割计划遇到了强大的阻力,因此美国对外政策日趋激进,美元的军事化特征也特别明显。
自美国拱火俄乌战争后,导致大量欧洲资本流入美国,温顺的欧罗巴小绵羊被薅的体无完肤。然而由于东方大国的战略定力,打乱了华尔街这波全球收割计划,现在他们正试图在东亚挑起地缘风险,想通过台海危机的传导制造新的金融危机,以达成华尔街全球收割的目的。
根本原因在于,大中华区包括大陆与中国的港澳台,是美元当前最大的蓄水池,如果美元失去这一蓄水池,即便美国将印度与越南等国家打造为新的生产国,其货币容量也远远达不到大中华区的水平,因此美元一旦失去大中华区这个蓄水池,不仅美元的国际地位要大打折扣,同时美债的发行能力也将步入危机,所以美国在台海投入了很大的精力,因为这一地区攸关着美元的成败,攸关美国经济的兴衰。
得宝岛者得天下,台湾问题已经成为了中美战略竞争的一个“劫”,佩洛西窜访,意味着中美之间的政经军关系开始全面调整。
预计台海紧张局面会维持一段时间,这种地缘风险很容易给金融市场带来扰动,因此加强风控是有必要的。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑22000-22500美元,短线压力23500-24000美元。美三大股指涨跌互现,外部环境一般,大饼受制于23500美元的压力,今晨没有延续昨天晚上的反弹,出现震荡行情。比特币昨天因为消息面告一段落的原因,没有盘外压制的情况下做,不意外的反弹了一波,还是上涨到了23500的压力位,凌晨再次向下也可能是因为美联储再次发表鹰派声明的原因,但是整体趋势还是在区间内震荡,冷风认为没什么大问题。冷风还是维持原来的观点,大饼这波回调无论是空间,还是时间,都接近尾声了。在22000美元左右只要企稳,就可以波动做多,止损位放在21500美元。个人认为大饼八月份仍会有一次冲高机会,高点应该在25000-28000美元。技术方面,昨天破坏下降通道,转为箱体震荡,震荡比较厉害,建议放弃中间不确定的小单,依照支撑压力进行高抛低吸。逢低可以布局一些强势的现货,依照支撑做单带好止损即可。
ETH短线支撑1540-1580美元,短线压力1650-1700美元以太坊昨日呈现梯形上涨结构,走势还是强于大饼,以太走的越好,市场希望越大,这波以太利好带起的行情现在看来还没有结束,操作方面只要跟大饼同步操作即可,大饼属于箱体震荡,以太可能就是z型走势。建议按照大饼的节奏抄底。主流币跟随大饼波动,按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注uni,sushi。
山寨币三个原则,大饼稳,板块热,龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点,一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调,存量资金搏弈,局部式行情,而这局部就是山寨币。 冷风认为只要大饼稳定,山寨币才会有表现。今天大饼震荡,不是好的做多环境,大家还是要小心点为好,今天重点关注DEFI板块的走势,重点币种near,perp和ens。冷风在昨天的推荐里专门提到了op,在之前的文章里也多次提及,请各位记住,炒新不炒旧,买强不买弱! 来源:金色财经 |
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