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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
) S( I7 \/ G* {# W. g
% r1 g/ t \) t! y2 [- P5. 废话的不对称原则
' H8 z. Y9 W4 r7 k! c反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
4 w# y7 S3 Q) M
! C" A; E1 G5 N( C1 y7 c回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
$ H3 W+ j: i, `" T2 G0 Z C6 `/ @0 D+ x7 u
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。% H" Q0 l/ X& N8 U" G! S
% E1 i4 {% C9 `! w5 r+ }' T每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。, Z. N4 I! Q7 S; z! @# v
4 `3 ]( F! @, h& C9 `. B, P而对抗它们需要太多的精力。" N( I, k W' H' o* Z2 q4 _' w
8 J" X1 v5 J3 [! k' B7 [9 q6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)4 i4 ]$ ?) e G
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。. @3 ?8 p. i/ X" A
# w7 J, R( R6 W; F
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。8 E, q; P+ E5 T3 c! j; K5 t
! x' Y* T# n' v7 b, ^$ {0 }因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。9 f- \+ ] I! S- c9 [
|3 q$ _2 k0 N1 m3 H想象一下罕见事件:0 p6 J7 a- g8 O; E+ O6 y
/ v2 m- z7 t6 I5 J, x& Q0 L
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
- m! Y. r. {) s1 W0 R% J& u, V/ w& n5 {" ^
• 核打击
! c. g. P& }' H# o+ t) F3 Z& c
& y- n* v3 ~* ~" V+ e z我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
6 H+ A3 Q; |3 s, e
$ j" F, I5 h9 i( k7.二八定律
/ g3 F; l: z0 ?3 Z; Y在币圈:
u/ u' ^+ s1 m: H" {. F# d- ~; `1 q$ C" L
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
; J3 y' ^& N7 s. H9 n0 @1 h
$ J4 O a) H2 B/ o2 _80%的利润被20%的人拿走。3 v3 `0 |- q2 Q6 v3 f
; y8 l2 K6 i* g9 a6 c- r5 s- Y" i
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
* w. b4 ^! x4 }. k# k# T
- d7 s" X) \; @ _7 I8.网络效应
4 r, a& f. K* ]% h" L产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。7 w: ^, l4 ?" F
0 D/ K: Q3 |" A# Q& S' F' m, x' B T- z+ G想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
1 I4 ?2 \* U4 i: k- L5 ^4 x% ~ h3 K
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。1 S- V7 R: B" @3 Y/ s+ a M( }
" f6 H8 A( }8 `$ P6 c* N
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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