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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四% _% D* S# r, `; e4 C4 q f
& O! ?: B: N* b) C6 x4 u
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置+ E4 K6 h; [/ \8 d. E+ X
; u$ X3 y6 c- S5 O6 \+ w1 F
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公 {) F, Z' C% \4 i3 z% T+ \8 n
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司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
- l$ w, s! p+ I& \3 M6 c在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
( J3 q7 [3 x( K& { x
3 M, M2 J" C' i% ^% O$ q特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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! u( V6 g& O" K& \: C(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。# _* h/ x' t) k5 V; U
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
) ~, I! t( z& I4 f3 i
1 _8 y0 ^5 X% @币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，2 a, {+ S# x5 ?( V0 g. T% U
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。- a$ Z# W: @0 R: e6 T* p
- l; U/ l1 w- X6 g“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特/ @$ m9 T! z) B k
4 O; U, K- |' B3 E
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
* F% j" l& B) U0 S+ f4 c
! D. ~) p* K5 g5 z( }5 U- P. P格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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: H7 r) w: t7 ~) T. ~8 @8 _6 F% o7 W在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大3 T: t* q# a9 `
" A4 |; c) |/ c0 r& c6 F u力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，7 P0 n/ d; v% P G P, `/ I
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2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。" K. m2 T4 o# f! Z# Y2 W
* ]6 N" s) Q% I
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到, F0 g' q4 [0 w) R3 P
" |" n$ f9 j2 @$ b* r- B4 n
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
# S2 o, m& q) N7 J$ }/ V* x$ J& \' D9 d- d* x
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下8 X5 X6 e7 w6 O$ w/ j
8 [0 D+ ^) w5 Q& C( ^4 ^1 {降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该( u! L3 O0 n* u' x
+ v4 O6 S# [2 g5 Z) T会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。( l) D% _' `/ B6 v8 z* J
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