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[lastpost] => 2690383 比特币突破8万美元，续创历史新高（转） 1731281207 anzizhong
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XRP在盘整阶段交易后面临崩溃的风险，分析师预测可能跌至0.4319美元。各种市场指标的支持证据加强了对即将下跌的预测。
9 l* @( p) ]6 b7 ~在日线图上，Ripple[XRP]的表现一直不佳，这一趋势似乎将继续下去。它已经经历了1.71%的下降，预计还会进一步下降。- G7 k: ^+ f+ l$ |( @0 ~
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XRP合并可能导致崩溃
, {, C& I; D3 X N2 j, A0 H- }根据AMBCrypto的图表分析，XRP在一年多的时间里一直在规定的每日范围内进行整合，这一运动始于8月。
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% h! l1 d5 }( D1 W巩固阶段通常代表积累期，价格在矩形的上下限之间波动，通常为重大崩溃或突破奠定基础。9 J9 }: H6 u5 v
1 h" B: N7 `" p2 r1 k+ o, `, c截至本文撰写之时，XRP最近已从上限或阻力线反弹，并可能跌至通道底部，购买压力可能会推动其价格上涨，继续其振荡模式。
; Z6 t6 d1 \# B% l( Q) ]1 ^" h4 G, s/ u2 i- m- y
然而，AMBCrypto报告称，抛售压力已经加剧，这表明下限或支撑线可能无法维持，这将导致资产价值进一步下跌。* Q! n3 p" W& P3 M) K0 _; v6 e
# f+ U: v6 q) E% b; Q5 W5 b供应地销售压力增加
- c, ~" m3 w# rAMBCrypto使用Cryptoquant的数据进行的分析表明，XRP的交易所供应份额在过去24小时内显著增加，这表明其价格可能大幅下跌。" T- q# z5 o4 [% x9 ^' L' V
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这一增长表明代币在交易所的可用性更高，由于潜在卖家的涌入，其价格面临下行压力。" w! ^ V6 G$ V! ^6 e. B
% r' O. Q9 P/ A( O& [已经观察到供应量大幅增加，这通常是由于鲸鱼将大量XRP转移到交易所出售9 b& A) u+ U# C( ?$ I
1 h9 n; C% q/ X' D) c最近，Lookonchain记录了一笔交易，一头鲸鱼在最近几个小时内移动了9500万XRP，相当于超过4900万美元，记录了更多的交易。
9 ]4 K4 Z- ]3 Y( p6 R
+ E4 [" E6 A- L% u. h. h此外，据Cryptoquant称，自本月初以来，XRP的交易所流入量稳步上升，进一步增加了交易所的总供应量。) k; p3 L/ @6 o- l) y
7 e5 {$ g/ ]/ B6 |: [, f6 c. \零售交易员的活动加剧了XRP的看跌走势2 A/ C7 F2 \9 y( Z) t
追踪未结算交易的Coinglass对未平仓合约（OI）的详细分析显示，未平仓合约大幅下降7.02%，至5.6397亿美元，这表明散户越来越活跃，可能会对XRP价格的下跌产生影响。
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这种看跌前景得到了抛物线SAR（止损和反转）指标的进一步支持。
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4 k2 s6 Q- k. \+ d' {* F" `) P抛物线SAR有助于识别潜在的价格反转和动量，由图表上价格条上方或下方的点标记。这些点的位置变化表明趋势发生了转变。% R; I6 c* ~0 B" _
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