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[虚拟币交流]
卡尔达诺(Cardano)价格逼近0.40美元，面临巨大抛售压力（转）
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ADA在0.40美元附近面临强劲的抛售压力，50日均线进一步强化了这一阻力。
/ B' ]; G1 s% o动量指标和链上数据持续利好卖方。
8 k# K7 _6 b4 T3 W3 x" `! [4 ~+ |3 d如果无法收回 0.40 美元，则可能引发价格进一步下跌至 0.32 美元。
9 l+ ^7 N' ~# D$ @5 ?( r卡尔达诺的ADA再次承压，图表走势清晰地显示了这一点。价格在0.40美元附近遭遇强劲的抛售阻力，卖方多次在此出击，扼杀了所有上涨的希望。目前，这一阻力位依然有效，正在考验多头的耐心。" m; _0 C- U6 q; n& w
* [) @0 C0 y' i& ?' s1 mADA股价在0.40美元的沉重供应区下方苦苦挣扎
) F9 E2 \& D& @0 Q6 @5 U& IADA周五下跌近4%，交易价格在0.38美元附近，并一度跌至日内低点。靠近0.379美元。这一举措本身看起来或许并不引人注目，但它加强近期，大多数市值较大的山寨币都受到短期下跌趋势的影响。; _6 b3 m* t- E. I- C/ v
* ~2 C. Q' |# S4 @% ]0 _; f0.40 美元区域已不仅仅是一个心理关口，更是一个密集的供应区，50 日指数移动平均线（目前位于 0.41 美元附近）进一步强化了这一趋势。每当价格向该区域移动时，卖方就会介入，动能迅速消退。结果就是价格连续多次遭到干净利落的反扑。继续限制任何恢复尝试。
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! e1 [( ]7 \: d! k z4 j& w7 Y各项指标均指向下行风险加剧。 U6 X4 C; M" b X; d# ]! A
动量指标也未能提供多少安慰。每日RSI仍低于中性水平，表明市场结构疲软，可能进一步滑向超卖区域。与此同时，平均趋向指数 (ADI) 徘徊在 19.5 附近，这一读数表明看跌即使趋势强度并不极端，控制仍然存在。% k* P' B1 M+ ?1 G3 I
# w% t6 S! F+ L3 T+ Q8 N% ]MACD指标也呈负值趋势，位于零轴下方并出现看跌背离。布林带开始收缩并向下轨倾斜，这种组合通常预示着市场波动性将加剧。综合来看，这些信号表明市场正处于下跌趋势，而非即将突破。2 y4 T9 @: G7 p4 u
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更广泛的市场压力对卡尔达诺不利。# U* l( C" a. \( t7 M+ Q' n( U: s
缩小画面，卡尔达诺的疲软并非孤立发生。去年加密货币市场整体表现疲软，宏观经济逆风抑制了市场风险偏好。比特币难以守住关键价位，一度跌至 8 万美元附近，随后反弹，但又在 9.75 万美元下方受阻。这种犹豫情绪也蔓延到了其他加密货币。
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QCP的分析师指出，尽管宏观经济状况最终可能支撑看涨情绪，但波动性依然居高不下。由于现货需求疲软，比特币和以太坊都持续反映出避险情绪。在这种环境下，像ADA这样的中小型代币往往会更快地感受到压力。' z1 a% h% c& H. L1 l
" I) N J/ l) H( e$ Q+ P链上信号和资金费率加剧了谨慎情绪2 {( U! Y! g K2 S, {, |8 z8 n# z
Cardano的链上数据也未能带来多少缓解。诸如此类的指标休眠供应激活表明抛售兴趣重燃，这与图表上已显现的趋势相呼应。在2025年10月价格从0.82美元上方大幅下跌之后，价格在50日均线附近屡次受阻，这一跌势也大幅调整了市场预期。" D# e* |' N% S* z& ?
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目前，ADA价格在0.38美元附近的脆弱支撑位附近徘徊，且融资利率转为负值，空头头寸似乎占据了上风。这种转变通常预示着散户乐观情绪的消退。然而，情况并非完全如此。日交易量下降了约26%，这暗示着市场疲软。定罪双方都缺乏明确的立场。这种缺乏决心可能使价格再次测试 0.40 美元的供应区，即使突破的可能性仍然很小。1 R R+ m6 L8 Y# t0 x
3 }( [' t- s' e6 b, e: T如果 0.40 美元再次失败会发生什么4 m! K$ L; ]' v l# t$ c
未来的走势相当清晰。如果ADA能够以显著的成交量反弹至0.40美元，就能缓解眼前的下行压力，并挑战看跌格局。反之，风险则进一步下探。若未能突破该水平，价格可能下跌约10%，并回落至0.32美元附近的数月支撑位。6 w- w# O B2 u* W
9 k# z/ y2 L' j4 }( y+ U目前，ADA 仍被困在顽固的阻力位之下，卖方牢牢掌控着局面，多头已无回旋余地。1 O/ P" ^, X f% {5 @
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0.4刀这坎儿确实邪门，每次快摸到就砸盘，多头心里苦啊 |
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