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[体育菠菜心得方法] 非赌不可如何赌:小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民
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此帖转贴,作者wloo  (凉咖啡)6 g, i; p3 b3 m( n
Dubo不是好东西,盲目的赌真的会让你倾家荡产。但是如果你真能掌握其中某些实
) x  }- w5 r" ?& k) o% B+ b质,结果也许真的会大不一样。4 }' b, I& s/ V' Y" Y3 E
一个玩21点的,在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,他一个晚上就能赢走90万多) t5 b0 b9 E8 s, }
美元, M6 F- H0 r6 S5 L; J5 `3 N* [$ f
他凭自己的技术,要养家糊口是不成问题的。要说华尔街那些人能在某种程度上掌7 N# ^; F6 O3 f# @
控国家经济,也是事实。他们所做的某些工作跟赌有紧密联系的。所以说,小赌可1 j- _2 V/ B* s5 ]8 X6 [% ]
以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民,也不能算是痴人梦话。' m7 l5 S% m- k7 U! G2 O6 y4 e, I
Dubo有多种,这里只说赌彩,就是玩彩票。 有人说,彩票是愚者的Dubo,智者的游
# B0 B- L; v+ @5 }/ `戏,我赞承这种说法。
# t& J- {! X: k8 N现在还没听说过什么人能用玩彩来养家糊口、救国救民,如果真能玩到这种境界,
# r9 I' s& N4 T2 Q' m也算世界状元了!但如果你非赌不可,就必须首先具备成熟的心理素质。7 B) L3 I: |! _! S7 R
首先应该面对的是关于彩票公证性的挑战。
/ H. R+ B4 O/ W# n玩彩前,每个人都要先问一个问题:彩票公司公正吗?出号真的是随机的吗?8 K) w$ P" s6 u: y% D+ n3 r
疑问1:现在世界上主要国家(包括加拿大,不包括天朝)的彩票公司都在用一种
0 N8 _2 L6 f) v$ i' p0 AG-tech技术保护,不敢对G-tech多说什么,只是在下面列出很多彩票玩家经常提出
  }* G0 e, h! n: }: c的一些与G-teck 有关的问题:
: j% b9 T: N0 J  Q) I. v0 c* Why one organization called “G-TECH” behind the world lotteries?+ f6 z1 T3 j8 M* `$ B2 o4 m+ n
Is it because those world governments cannot afford to buy the3 W7 s2 T$ F) o) b" y1 a
equipment outright unless G-TECH supplies it to them?$ m* R& h1 b) `( m+ L" M
* Why G-TECH collect percentage of the profit from the local operators?
3 D9 b% e6 _: @. Q* What more is in to lotteries apart from Machines and Balls?& u4 }* ~! R' g" n: `& q: V
Could it be software involved?
( B2 w/ M7 d) F4 d* r) w  w2 \  q! t" h* Why world data such as UK, France, Germany, Spain and even USA have the+ U2 g6 f+ ~. D
same resemblance but never and ever match entirely?
( h$ T- Z5 N/ d/ {0 ~$ j% _* Why satellite terminals are involved if the draws are taking place locally,
# e+ _! W5 L% m. Wis it because to transfer data back to G-TECH for calculations?
) ]+ E3 ^& L) I: O$ Z* Why there is a minimum of half hour interval from the shut down of terminals
2 G# U* f4 k. J* W- Yto the time draw takes place, what the organizers do during this time?' h# R0 |0 ]/ I3 C
* How can the local organization running the lottery like Camelot in UK can take7 J1 J" P+ `& U
their share of sales (%50 I believe) before the draw takes place especially
7 D& E, [9 U# ], X- pwhere there is a minimum prize of £10 guaranteed? ? How do they know how
0 Z4 r* I0 G# ?3 T# Kmany $10 winners there are to calculate their sums when there is a possibility* M" A& Y, d2 ?9 N5 Q" h" k8 h
of the number of £10 winners exceed from the total sales?
- K. K8 h2 P0 }9 i6 P3 v6 K** 注:据说G-tect理论需要30分钟去完成某些“优化”计算( o8 z) [6 [1 H0 o6 m
** 注:理论上讲,过去的中奖号码最多在4500期后就会出现首次重复。+ p. R! Q! N" R9 U
疑问2:曾有人在某彩票玩家网站上贴出下面文字,后来经有心人查证,其作者IP
- v1 I7 F: s. Q& I, b8 B似乎是控制加拿大649、Super7的彩票公司,就是说是彩票公司内部的人发出的...$ }0 l+ c5 }. m. ]2 J
Winning numbers how there are selected
  [9 w) _/ ]0 d" h5 ?) YThis is the way we select the winning numbers:5 v" G4 z. _5 g7 Y
Select "XXX' Numbers_set from Played_numbers2 Y3 z5 p+ _+ B
where Province_of_played='XXX' and city_of_played='XXX" and time_of_played='XXX'
' o( e) z& O4 S9 n& ]! land Method_of_Played='XXXX'% e* `; h2 ^& Q5 F/ W
On each ticket we record the place, the time and the way the numbers have been selected.
6 y- R) y3 B2 |% ?; gWe run this query against all played sets.$ ?0 ^, m( m% r7 Z/ b
We then feed the drawing machine with the results, the outcome will always be what we want.9 f5 W( y& f/ }7 W( L2 x
For example if we want to have a single winner from Ontario, who played quick pick we run- o) k8 i6 `9 z- X7 M; z& s
the following query:+ B; s/ c% K. G4 L! o  O3 u
Select unique numbers_set from played_numbers
. A4 b( f! P( Fwhere province_of_played='Ontario' and method_of_played='quick pick';. @. @% O: B+ f( l* i) d& ~
It just takes less than 5 minutes to get the results.# m+ }( n. N: q9 P( n+ D
We prefer players wo play quick pick because our machine predict the numbers.) }8 s# X/ D; n" H% _: C' y4 q  s
If we do not want a winner we run the following query:+ U. A. t3 n- G1 U' N2 |
Select unique numbers_set from all_numbers_set where numbers_set not in played_numbers;
  ?2 a- ^* Z& T0 x, ]' E3 A6 n9 a上述英文是原文,没经过任何改动。
; A; h0 C/ j  V虽然此帖没明说是用在何种彩票上,但后来因为其作者IP的曝光(彩票公司内部人),
: V3 z" P  r" }, z1 B! ~很让人怀疑加拿大649、Super7的公正性。如果这是真的,很恐怖。
/ l* z5 i( v/ C8 q: ~疑问3:为什么现在加拿大彩票公司不实况转播摇奖过程,为什么加拿大彩票公司/ h- u5 X: S. f# l) ?- m, t
在停止售票1个半小时后才开始摇奖,而且每次摇奖只有几个人参与(一两个摇奖
7 f( K4 T0 O0 _, r( w. Y+ Z  r人员加三两个摄录的技术人员)?6 S: Q% \5 Q) [6 o) i% J
为什么摇奖过程没有法律公证人员参与、证实?为什么所有玩家购买号不能在摇奖! W+ d0 x8 A3 H2 Y
前刻在一张非重写的光盘上(体现公正性方法之一)?等等,很多问题。2 m3 b  z# Y: [  n
疑问4:为什么大多数情况下,“中奖者”信息不公开?(有人指出有很多未曝光的重
3 t2 |. E& y; Z) I9 w复中彩者)# }: \: Y) F' M% j8 K1 b
为什么几年前安省649出号与同期加拿大649出号极其相像,远远超过其理论上的
/ l/ N' R7 T* L/ g3 [: t可能性?! n( [8 i+ @1 @! C9 P9 I
疑问5:为什么彩票公司很多公开年薪超过10万的工作人员,几乎所有人公开的Taxable" o' g% Q7 P5 q% d; D$ b/ r+ P! d
Benefits只有不到200元?不用上税的Benefits有多少?! [1 k$ V6 n0 T! |& s6 Y4 b; x
下面附件里包括部分2003年OLGC年薪超过10万的Name、Position、Salary、" p) [! b+ n. z; i  \
Taxable Benefits。其实还有很多的疑问,但以上的疑问足以使一个成熟的人望而# m( S1 j$ f7 s& S' c
止步。我个人的感觉,相比之下真正公正的彩票是天朝的彩票。如果你有成熟的心
% L% `* o) b! ?' y9 v2 ^理素质包容以上疑问,并且还坚持非赌不可,那么你还需要了解一些有关彩票的最& V% g3 V: Y8 `9 Z4 c7 U) ?
基本的知识。
. S" t( C1 g3 H+ V9 Z7 P3 Q应该承认,通过适当的分析,是可以大幅度提高中奖机率的。虽然那个玩21点的,
5 s; N4 p) e& H; V4 i2 A! [在掌握了提高3%的赢牌机率技术后,一个晚上就能赢走90万多美元,但是对彩票
! H8 l: a0 [( S4 U4 v而言,却完全不是这样。其实对彩票研究而言,提高3%的中奖机率并不困难。比0 F& U/ u: C1 Q8 g% ]* c
如几周前,某人给出20个数字,说明是其后10次加拿大649最佳候选号。结果中5- A. s" K  N6 m) a( v% j" V2 `
个(或以上)中奖号至少3次以上。
) j9 z3 N; O, M# |! V理论上,49选20中5的几率是3.2153%,此人的结果提高30%以上的中奖机率。可
' Y; m) ~8 p, ^4 F/ U: V结果是他自己最多中了10块钱。原因很简单,彩票可能性的数据量太大,除了专业" J1 k2 u5 Y/ K5 K' o
玩彩的,没有人会每期投入几十万。
  r- A$ W% m3 ~9 L: g20选6有38760种可能,20选5加另外29选1有449616种可能,每期花$976752,) k! ^2 e; }' r
似乎专业玩彩的也不敢这样投。结论是即使你提高了30%的中奖机率,尤其是没有4 G5 a) D1 k% n: l8 A. S
人敢100%保证它的号能每次都达到30%的中5个机率,如果每次买全可能号码,最
0 C* n2 z7 c8 P1 Z  X8 l) `9 B后你还有70%的机率是赔。
' f  Y- w5 V- A; U8 C1 x. Z即使用旋转矩阵选号,20中5保3也要20个以上,仍然赔。如果不自己选号,去quick
# h7 o+ V/ r8 M1 R+ `$ npick,就是机选,那你几乎是没有什么机会的,即使是10块钱,你也会很难得到。
* r1 I; V% b8 J8 T( Y3 J" O# A且不说上面提到的G-tech保护,首先,理论上的中奖机率就少得很。理论上的机率
* x) a0 x/ z3 Y" e/ ~也不保证100%中奖机率。, E5 H6 B  W) d
举个具体的649的例子,中3的机率大概是1.765%(或1/57),但你买57张彩票,8 X& K+ z* @6 s% L! F' p
却不能100%的保证中3。如要100%的保证中3,现在的世界纪录是163,就是最少
% Q& i. Z5 |7 l& `; M买163张彩票(当然按特定组合了),才能100%的保证你中3个。如果你老能设计
/ y7 |2 g. M; E+ N5 |5 o1 C一种组合,用低于163的数额就能保证中3,可以去参加Lottery Wheeling4 ^* j/ {$ E4 }' x5 Q
Challenge,也弄个青史留名。当然,这特殊的163张彩号组合,肯定不会受G-tech
, t2 [: |3 d1 W# _4 u* Q. D9 c2 ]影响。问题是用163张彩票,$326,去赌$10奖金是否值得。
3 u1 H# |; I( K& z5 L' q( N. Z' \如果在这时你老还是非赌不可,那么该如何赌呢?不同的人有不同的技术,如果你
% ~5 F4 G& `% p没有白胡子老头托梦告诉你中奖号码,只能多在历史数据里下功夫了。# ?$ _  p7 G  I3 P  E, e
说到彩票研究,会有很多人说是痴心妄想。7 `# a0 C. i/ W' ], V
明白人会用概率理论来说明彩票是不可预测;. V9 _8 s4 f* H) _& z6 w+ M
不明白人会说,如果你能预测,就先来中几千万;8 [% F. @. ]' B- s
不明不白的人会说,中大奖的人都活不长,等等。9 S, Q' K; h' V2 u3 Q; j  z7 O  Z
且不管这些不同人的心态,仅对彩票本身而论,要研究彩票,只能从历史数据着手,
: H9 o( T* C  b  a5 G& j. @. i前提是你要承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有某些联系。0 g0 \1 O+ U, k$ q" b( P0 H' a
比如说第2527期彩票中奖号码是20 21 22 29 39 41,那么理论上第2528期的中奖, f( u) y& u1 \
号码于上期没有任何重复数字的几率是43.6%,有一个重复数字的几率是41.3%。
3 }" N4 D0 H& R& P8 K对所有前2527期结果统计表明,每期与前一期没有重复数字的次数是1086,重复
+ Q' t. L0 L3 W; @1的次数是:1047。另一方面,每期与20 21 22 29 39 41比较,没有重复数字的次, `4 q4 [, Q8 j% _' }# w8 U
数是1102,重复1的次数是:1040。这些统计结果显示基本与理论结果一致。( s1 q/ _9 Q+ o" {2 n
明白人知道这里我想说明什么。
7 m; u/ M1 q+ G2 d. d7 m( Y0 `在第2528期中,不同的组合,其出现的机率是不一致的。比如,与2527期重复2或3 [! W2 _5 x  O& o. O% {) x  U
大于2的组合,其出现机率要小于15.1%。承认历史数据与下期中奖号码有一定联系$ |* v7 G5 u! c  y1 y% l2 u) h1 ]
后,你可以设计不同的参数去分析,其中某些是非常有效的。大家分析同一个对象,' k( R/ \0 F3 f
但具体方法不同,其结论有天地之差。比如国内很多“专家”出书,分析奇偶,目前为
) _- F( x9 R; S& T4 F止,没看到任何实用的分析方法。简单的通过近期奇数个数、偶数个数来判断下期
* |( K2 F/ L3 w奇偶分配,简直就是天方夜谭、痴人说梦。对具体的分析对象、分析方法的讨论,
  [" ~. s  f9 M- l& L- S8 m6 _* G有时间时再听俺下文分解俺自己的心得。也请各位高人帮助填补下面内容。5 y7 R% N( {+ ^4 [( _9 u- W3 x
小赌可以养家糊口,大赌可以救国救民。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
{:8_286:} {:8_287:} {:8_288:} {:8_289:}
{:8_290:} {:8_291:} {:8_292:} {:8_293:}
{:8_294:} {:8_295:} {:8_296:} {:8_297:}
{:8_298:} {:8_299:} {:8_300:} {:8_301:}
{:8_302:} {:8_303:} {:8_304:} {:8_305:}
{:8_306:} {:8_307:} {:8_308:} {:8_309:}
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{:8_313:} {:8_314:} {:8_315:} {:8_316:}
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
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