×
Array
(
[fid] => 6974
[description] => 专注于币圈最新最快资讯,数字货币应用及知识普及
[password] =>
[icon] => b1/common_6974_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6974
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6969,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6937,6943,6970,6869,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6876,6952,6954,6960,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6873,555,6934,6958,6944,6945,6907,6779,6886,6950,6904,6956,6862,6957,6855,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6953,6976,6824,6815,6891,6866,6979,6977,6765,6903,6948,6980,6981,6983,6799,6982,6951,6984,6975,6895,6845,6879,1121,6974
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[1590] => 论坛公告
[1752] => 公司优惠
[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
)
[icons] => Array
(
[1590] =>
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] =>
[1661] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[1590] => 1
[1752] =>
[1603] =>
[1753] =>
[1754] =>
[1755] =>
[1655] =>
[1756] =>
[1757] =>
[1760] =>
[1758] =>
[1759] => 1
[1661] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 虚拟币讨论大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 3
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 19985
[posts] => 288081
[todayposts] => 115
[yesterdayposts] => 307
[rank] => 2
[oldrank] => 2
[lastpost] => 2651569 比特币 (BTC) 价格将在未来 6 周内达到 8.4 万美元:原因如下(转) 1716363114 春娇与小智
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 3
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12073 小时
本月在线: 31 小时
|
|
首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的
3 G' c* s( o# _9 ?5 ?' G4 T* G4 D4 D+ b$ x" _3 M
总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,/ h+ r6 E$ i9 `1 K' R2 u$ j
2 l0 @1 E; H% W- ~
方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。7 h; g2 G8 a# E& ^
5 K$ w" ?. W& o8 t# w3 K. t- r4 w
2 e+ R$ y- a" q8 w: n1 e, l9 k# P( [4 y; A) w* ^1 R" n
牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,4 K- v3 c+ _& _( H
3 Y/ J* q, U! u1 gFidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天! P# k: D8 Z0 \$ h: W, U
8 s% [/ n( v$ [内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF
8 ?2 e- i$ h9 E" I
6 d0 W" c7 M2 e6 s3 w4 R宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿
( j* x- k9 Z- U3 {+ x1 L* v# C; v6 ]* E+ M: K9 x
枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到, Z6 k0 ~0 N8 A: s n+ O
. ]+ u" \1 z( H; {k线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成, T* b; K+ U9 z- g$ i7 [6 k% ~
! r7 Z( {. s$ [5 e Q4 Y7 {7 w震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死
j; s! R9 k9 D2 o" ^6 x" O3 S9 }0 S+ J0 a2 M) k
叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了1 v1 h! Q9 w3 C: l: x# `" h/ G1 k- W
8 b2 z) w, L/ ?4 D+ T1 c避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确" M( M, N o9 X
7 Q+ W2 K! ~* W3 H# w) y" c
定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
% L: `* c" Z5 T" x3 ?
' Y! V: c ~' m& L& Z/ x4 y. U间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认: B+ P2 {$ r9 E& j9 I8 Q$ F5 m- |
* T/ W1 h( _2 W$ K为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。: H' V5 o: F: t
2 @" M9 z; D: c- u4 @
从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
- D7 g# |5 q: ?8 V5 g/ F) V, i* _% w* F4 @' a
,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
2 S! f6 `, y4 v9 t0 j! I
9 Z: F$ O1 `/ f4 Z( S# I位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,% `, r2 q. T4 G) x0 U) n& G
' S7 D0 O. { \% [# TEMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。
4 ^& z% M% ]5 l( W! ]' _/ g' @& I% s8 a+ m
考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,
/ j" k0 E9 _1 d9 T% b8 v& M, Z2 e; ~) B4 f( U
认为比特币至少会去次6万。) V; b# d" R0 B: a2 _! p' J
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 11551 小时
本月在线: 80 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 17433 小时
本月在线: 57 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 8214 小时
本月在线: 37 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 16976 小时
本月在线: 143 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12110 小时
本月在线: 34 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 2141 小时
本月在线: 33 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 795 小时
本月在线: 2 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 3413 小时
本月在线: 31 小时
|
|
) u2 E/ Z. [: U. f- Q
抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9403 小时
本月在线: 52 小时
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|