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[lastpost] => 2651574 为什么加密货币市场今天上涨?比特币、以太坊领先收益(转) 1716364624 老龙口
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 12073 小时
本月在线: 31 小时
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的% K9 m% d& S; ]0 T: y9 U
( n, a, o, P0 S! P总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,) } Z ]8 F. b
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方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。
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牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,. [# m9 J1 k+ W& M! n6 u
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Fidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天& m$ H0 r E0 M( B# p3 ` n
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内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF
$ S+ ~+ w: J# a0 r U
7 E, Q8 u7 }) @' G+ Y& Z0 s4 ?宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿$ _* i4 g; B9 Z, J s+ _5 _
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枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到! T8 Q$ {6 E7 l/ e' |
v2 K* q) @3 Q8 N# A) ?k线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成
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震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死; r" V; \( Q1 _7 H5 f
( N* @* W) Z5 @: x, J叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
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避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确
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; O8 _1 W F" v' f* P! V6 [3 e定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
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间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认
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为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。# A- a1 u* `- Z% W
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从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
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! e4 v, X, d; Z3 x8 l,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑: r; N3 K* b4 @- R( o) w, R/ ~
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位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,
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EMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。
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- i* V* N: A# d% I6 C m考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,
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. v& i D! P& A认为比特币至少会去次6万。
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当前离线
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抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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总在线: 9403 小时
本月在线: 52 小时
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